Question: For the data in the Excel file Airport Passengers , do the following: a.Develop a spreadsheet for forecasting the number of airport passengers using a
For the data in the Excel file Airport Passengers, do the following:
a.Develop a spreadsheet for forecasting the number of airport passengers using a simple 3- and 5-month moving average.
b.Compare the two models using MAD, MSE, and MAPE error measures. Explain which model yields better results and why?
c.Develop a spreadsheet for forecasting the number of airport passengers using simple exponential smoothing with smoothing constants 0.1, 0.5, and 0.9.
d.Using MAD, MSE, and MAPE as guidance, find the best smoothing constant.
| Date | Airport Passengers |
| Jan-15 | 3.204.637 |
| Feb-15 | 2.966.477 |
| Mar-15 | 3.593.364 |
| Apr-15 | 3.604.104 |
| May-15 | 3.933.016 |
| Jun-15 | 4.146.797 |
| Jul-15 | 4.176.486 |
| Aug-15 | 4.347.059 |
| Sep-15 | 3.781.168 |
| Oct-15 | 3.872.278 |
| Nov-15 | 3.902.278 |
| Dec-15 | 4.302.278 |
| Jan-16 | 2.644.539 |
| Feb-16 | 2.359.800 |
| Mar-16 | 2.925.918 |
| Apr-16 | 3.024.973 |
| May-16 | 3.177.100 |
| Jun-16 | 3.419.595 |
| Jul-16 | 3.649.702 |
| Aug-16 | 3.650.668 |
| Sep-16 | 3.191.526 |
| Oct-16 | 3.249.428 |
| Nov-16 | 2.971.484 |
| Dec-16 | 3.074.209 |
| Jan-17 | 2.785.466 |
| Feb-17 | 2.515.361 |
| Mar-17 | 3.105.958 |
| Apr-17 | 3.139.059 |
| May-17 | 3.380.355 |
| Jun-17 | 3.612.886 |
| Jul-17 | 3.765.824 |
| Aug-17 | 3.771.842 |
| Sep-17 | 3.356.365 |
| Oct-17 | 3.490.100 |
| Nov-17 | 3.163.659 |
| Dec-17 | 3.167.124 |
| Jan-18 | 2.883.810 |
| Feb-18 | 2.610.667 |
| Mar-18 | 3.129.205 |
| Apr-18 | 3.200.527 |
| May-18 | 3.547.804 |
| Jun-18 | 3.766.323 |
| Jul-18 | 3.935.589 |
| Aug-18 | 3.917.884 |
| Sep-18 | 3.564.970 |
| Oct-18 | 3.602.455 |
| Nov-18 | 3.326.859 |
| Dec-18 | 3.441.693 |
| Jan-19 | 3.211.600 |
| Feb-19 | 2.998.119 |
| Mar-19 | 3.472.440 |
| Apr-19 | 3.563.007 |
| May-19 | 3.820.570 |
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