Question: For this activity, refer to the Surf Print Table & Floor Lamps example. Assume that sale price follows a lognormal distribution with mean of $48
For this activity, refer to the Surf Print Table & Floor Lamps example. Assume that sale price follows a lognormal distribution with mean of $48 and standard deviation of $4.80 and the variable production costs follow a lognormal distribution with mean of $20 and standard deviation of $2. Also, assume that the required rate of return follows a uniform distribution between 18% and 30%. What is the expected NPV? What is the probability that the NPV is less than zero? What variable is the NPV most sensitive to? Please show all work in excel.
Please show all work in excel.
Surf Print Table & Floor Lamps example below:
Unit sales 1st year - 6,000
Price/ unit - $48
Growth Rate in sales - 8%
Networking Capital - $28,000
Annual fixed costs - $80,000
Variable cost/ unit - $20
Equipment Cost - $145,000
Useful life - 5
Tax rate - 34%
Required return - 25%
Time01 2 3 4 5
Unit Sales6,0006,480 6,998 7,558 8,163
Revenue$288,000$311,040$335,923$362,797$391,821
Fixed costs$80,000$80,000$80,000 $80,000$80,000
Variable costs$120,000$129,600$139,968$515,165$163,259
Deprecation$29,000$29,000$29,000$29,000$29,000
EBIT$59,000$72,440$86,955$102,632$119,562
Taxes$20,060$24,630$29,565$34,895$40,651
Net income $38,940 $47,810 $57,390 $67,737 $78,911
Operating cash flows$67,940 $76,810 $86,390 $96,737 $107,911
Investments:
Initial outlay$(145,000)
Networking capital $(28,000)$28,000
Total cash flows $(173,000)$67,940$76,810 $86,390 $96,737 $135,911
NPV$58,901
Please show all work in excel.
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