Question: Given the following data, use exponential smoothing with =0.1 and =0.6 to generate forecasts for periods 2 through 6. Use Mad and MEE to decide

  1. Given the following data, use exponential smoothing with =0.1 and =0.6 to generate forecasts for periods 2 through 6. Use Mad and MEE to decide which of the two models produce a netter forecast. (Assume the forecast for Period 1 is 17)

Period

Actual

Forecast

1

14

17

2

16

3

16

4

11

5

12

6

17

a.What is the forecast for Period 6 when you use =0.6? (Express it to 2 decimal places)

Answer:

b. What is the value of Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) when =0.6? Calculate to 3 decimal places. (Use all forecasted values from Period 1 to Period 6.)

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