Question: Given the following data, use exponential smoothing with =0.1 and =0.6 to generate forecasts for periods 2 through 6. Use Mad and MEE to decide
- Given the following data, use exponential smoothing with =0.1 and =0.6 to generate forecasts for periods 2 through 6. Use Mad and MEE to decide which of the two models produce a netter forecast. (Assume the forecast for Period 1 is 17)
| Period | Actual | Forecast |
| 1 | 14 | 17 |
| 2 | 16 |
|
| 3 | 16 |
|
| 4 | 11 |
|
| 5 | 12 |
|
| 6 | 17 |
|
a.What is the forecast for Period 6 when you use =0.6? (Express it to 2 decimal places)
Answer:
b. What is the value of Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) when =0.6? Calculate to 3 decimal places. (Use all forecasted values from Period 1 to Period 6.)
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