Question: H K R W AA c) MAD MSE b) Method Trend Analysis GDP Forecast a b 6 d) Method Simple a a b e) Exponential

H K R W AA c) MAD MSE b) Method Trend Analysis

H K R W AA c) MAD MSE b) Method Trend Analysis GDP Forecast a b 6 d) Method Simple a a b e) Exponential Trend Analysis Exponential Analysis Error Error GDP 0.4 0.4 6 0.5 0.7 Year 10.4 21 0.4 3 0.5 4 0.7 S 0.9 6 1 7 81 1.7 9 1.31 10 1.2 0.9 7 Deposits Turtas 0.25 0.24 0.24 0.26 0.25 0.3 0.31 0.32 0.24 0.26 0.25 0.33 0.5 0.95 1.7 1 1.4 1.7 1.3 1.2 12 2.8 2.8 2.7 3.9 1 a) 2 Method - Exponential Smoothing a 0.6 3 4 Year Depo Team Tor 5 1 0.25 2 0.24 7 3 0.24 8 4 0.26 S 0.25 10 6 0.30 11 0.31 8 0.32 9 13 0.24 14 10 0.26 15 11 0.25 16 12 0.33 17 13 0.50 18 14 0.95 19 15 1.70 20 16 2.30 21 17 2.80 22 18 2.80 23 19 2.70 24 20 3.90 25 21 4.90 26 22 5.30 27 23 6.20 28 24 4.10 29 25 4.50 30 26 6.10 31 27 7.70 32 28 10.10 33 29 15.20 30 18.10 35 31 24.10 36 32 25.60 37 33 30.30 38 34 36.00 39 35 31.10 40 31.70 37 38.50 42 38 47.90 43 39 49.10 44 40 S5.80 15 41 70.10 46 42 70.90 47 43 79.10 48 44 94.00 49 Total 50 51 MAD MSE Deposits forecast 52 for year 45 53 5.3 Period Deportes 1 0.25 2 0.24 3 0.24 4 0.26 S 0.25 6 0.3 7 0.31 8 0.32 9 0.24 10 0.26 0.25 12 0.33 13 0.5 14 0.95 15 1.7 16 2.3 17 2.8 18 2.8 19 2.7 20 3.9 21 4.9 22 23 6.2 4.1 25 4.5 26 6.1 27 7.7 28 10.1 15.2 30 18.1 31 24.1 32 25.6 33 30.3 34 36 35 31.1 36 31.7 37 38.5 38 47.9 39 49.1 40 55.8 41 70.1 42 70.9 43 79.1 44 94 Total CI 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.9 1.9 2.3 2.5 2.8 2.9 3.4 12 0.9 131 1.2 141 1.2 15 1.2 16 1.6 17 1.5 18 1.6 191 1.7 20 1.9 21 1.91 22 23 23 2.51 24 2.8 251 2.9 261 3.4 27 3.8 281 4.1 29 4 30 31 3.91 32 3.8 33 3.8 34 3.7 35 4.1 4 4 3.9 3.8 3.7 5.3 6.2 4.1 4.5 6.1 7.7 10.1 15.2 18.1 24.1 25.6 30.3 36 31.1 31.7 38.5 47.9 49.1 55.8 70.1 70.9 79.1 94 4.1 4 4.51 4.6 37 4 381 4.5 39 4.6 401 4.5 41 4.6 42 4.6 43 44 S 4,6 4.6 4.7 S Total MAD MSE MAD MSE Deposits forecast for year 45 GDP forecast for year 45 Deposits forecast for year 45 55 H K R W AA c) MAD MSE b) Method Trend Analysis GDP Forecast a b 6 d) Method Simple a a b e) Exponential Trend Analysis Exponential Analysis Error Error GDP 0.4 0.4 6 0.5 0.7 Year 10.4 21 0.4 3 0.5 4 0.7 S 0.9 6 1 7 81 1.7 9 1.31 10 1.2 0.9 7 Deposits Turtas 0.25 0.24 0.24 0.26 0.25 0.3 0.31 0.32 0.24 0.26 0.25 0.33 0.5 0.95 1.7 1 1.4 1.7 1.3 1.2 12 2.8 2.8 2.7 3.9 1 a) 2 Method - Exponential Smoothing a 0.6 3 4 Year Depo Team Tor 5 1 0.25 2 0.24 7 3 0.24 8 4 0.26 S 0.25 10 6 0.30 11 0.31 8 0.32 9 13 0.24 14 10 0.26 15 11 0.25 16 12 0.33 17 13 0.50 18 14 0.95 19 15 1.70 20 16 2.30 21 17 2.80 22 18 2.80 23 19 2.70 24 20 3.90 25 21 4.90 26 22 5.30 27 23 6.20 28 24 4.10 29 25 4.50 30 26 6.10 31 27 7.70 32 28 10.10 33 29 15.20 30 18.10 35 31 24.10 36 32 25.60 37 33 30.30 38 34 36.00 39 35 31.10 40 31.70 37 38.50 42 38 47.90 43 39 49.10 44 40 S5.80 15 41 70.10 46 42 70.90 47 43 79.10 48 44 94.00 49 Total 50 51 MAD MSE Deposits forecast 52 for year 45 53 5.3 Period Deportes 1 0.25 2 0.24 3 0.24 4 0.26 S 0.25 6 0.3 7 0.31 8 0.32 9 0.24 10 0.26 0.25 12 0.33 13 0.5 14 0.95 15 1.7 16 2.3 17 2.8 18 2.8 19 2.7 20 3.9 21 4.9 22 23 6.2 4.1 25 4.5 26 6.1 27 7.7 28 10.1 15.2 30 18.1 31 24.1 32 25.6 33 30.3 34 36 35 31.1 36 31.7 37 38.5 38 47.9 39 49.1 40 55.8 41 70.1 42 70.9 43 79.1 44 94 Total CI 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.9 1.9 2.3 2.5 2.8 2.9 3.4 12 0.9 131 1.2 141 1.2 15 1.2 16 1.6 17 1.5 18 1.6 191 1.7 20 1.9 21 1.91 22 23 23 2.51 24 2.8 251 2.9 261 3.4 27 3.8 281 4.1 29 4 30 31 3.91 32 3.8 33 3.8 34 3.7 35 4.1 4 4 3.9 3.8 3.7 5.3 6.2 4.1 4.5 6.1 7.7 10.1 15.2 18.1 24.1 25.6 30.3 36 31.1 31.7 38.5 47.9 49.1 55.8 70.1 70.9 79.1 94 4.1 4 4.51 4.6 37 4 381 4.5 39 4.6 401 4.5 41 4.6 42 4.6 43 44 S 4,6 4.6 4.7 S Total MAD MSE MAD MSE Deposits forecast for year 45 GDP forecast for year 45 Deposits forecast for year 45 55

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