Question: I am having a hard time with transition matrix. how do you set up a transition matrix and find the conditionals? The chancellor of NCSU
I am having a hard time with transition matrix. how do you set up a transition matrix and find the conditionals?
The chancellor of NCSU tells a friend A his decision on whether or to to accept a job at another university. A then tells B what the decision is, B tells C, etc. each time to a new person. Suppose each time the decision is relayed, a "yes" is changed to a "no" with the probability of .05 and a "no" is changed to a yes with the probability .08. Let state 1 be the reply "yes" given at that time and state 2 be the reply "no" given at that time.
a) Find the transition Matrix t
b) If the chancellor tells A "yes" he will accept the job, what is the probability C is told he will not accept the job
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