Question: I DO NOT NEED ANY OF THE SPREADSHEET DATA- JUST THE FOUR QUESTIONS ON THE BOTTOM! Using a spreadsheet and the following data (enter the
I DO NOT NEED ANY OF THE SPREADSHEET DATA- JUST THE FOUR QUESTIONS ON THE BOTTOM!
Using a spreadsheet and the following data (enter the data into the spreadsheet in Columns A and B, so dont just copy-and-paste), calculate the following forecasts: nave, 3-period moving average, 4-peri4od moving average, 3-2-1 weighted moving average, 1-4-5 weighted moving average, =.1 exponential smoothing, and =.8 exponential smoothing. Round all forecasts to whole numbers. Period 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Actual 974 766 727 849 693 655 854 742 717 852
Please answer the following questions: What two factors are you trying to balance when forecasting? As you increase the number of periods in a Moving Average or Weighted Moving Average forecast, which factor is reduced (less of a problem)? Which factor does the Nave forecast handle best? If you have 20 periods of historical data, how many would be included in the exponential smoothing forecast for Period 21? In what period can you begin forecasting a five-period Moving Average?
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