Question: I got the answer wrong for this question, I was wondering which one is correct? Based on a historical pre-election poll of likely U.S. voters,

I got the answer wrong for this question, I was wondering which one is correct?

Based on a historical pre-election poll of likely U.S. voters, 47% of those polled said that they intended to vote for George W. Bush and 41% said they intended to vote for John Kerry. There was 95% margin of error of +/- 3% points for each estimate. Based on your knowledge of confidence intervals, you can determine that:

-John Kerry has no chance of winning the election.

- The election is too close to call.

- The probable winner will be John Kerry.

- The probable winner will be George Bush. - WRONG!

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