Question: If a Normal distribution is assumed for the possible future outcomes, the Value at Risk (VaR) is fairly straightforward and simple to calculate if the
- If a Normal distribution is assumed for the possible future outcomes, the Value at Risk (VaR) is fairly straightforward and simple to calculate if the mean and standard deviation are known.
- True
- False
- A fairly accurate estimate of the Value at Risk (VaR) can be determined by using the generally accepted assumption that daily returns of the stock market as measured by the S&P 500 Index are consistent with a Normal distribution.
- True
- False
- The Value at Risk (VaR) tells us nothing about the possible losses worse than the VaR amount.
- True
- False
- Three approaches commonly used to calculate Value at Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) are (1) A parametric approach in which a specific distribution is assumed, (2) A non-parametric approach which uses historical data with an assumption that the future will be similar to what has happened in the past, and (3) A Monte Carlo simulation which develops multiple trials to produce a distribution of potential future outcomes.
- True
- False
- A non-parametric historical simulation approach for calculating Value at Risk (VaR) can be implemented by sorting historical data for a given period and using the Percentile function in Excel to determine the VaR.
- True
- False
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- The Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) removes autocorrelation by assigning equal weights to historical variances.
- True
- False
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- A successful GARCH method of modelling variance over time will remove autocorrelation in the squared returns of a data series.
- True
- False
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