The following information applies to Question 7 and Question 8 You expect there is an equal chance
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The following information applies to Question 7 and Question 8
You expect there is an equal chance that there will be a recession next year, the economy will be normal or there will be a boom on the economy. You hold 2/3 of your portfolio in stocks, and 1/3 of your portfolio in bonds. The expected returns depending on the economy are given below:
Expected returns | |||
Scenario | Probability | Stock (S) | Bond (B) |
Recession | 33.33% | -8.00% | 9.00% |
Normal | 33.33% | 12.00% | 4.00% |
Boom | 33.33% | 25.00% | -5.00% |
The expected standard deviation for your portfolio is:
(You will need to do several steps to get the answer to this question – i.e. calculated the Standard Deviation for S and B and the covariance of returns)
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