Question: It is claimed that when a particular analyst predicts a rise in the stock market, the market always rises. You are to verify the claim,

It is claimed that when a particular analyst predicts a rise in the stock market, the market always rises. You are to verify the claim, given the following information associated with four events: Card 1 Prediction: Favorable Report Card 2 Prediction: Unfavorable Report Card 3 Outcome: Rise in the Market Card 4 Outcome: Fall in the Market The other sides of cards 1 and 2 contain information about the outcome, and the other sides of cards 3 and 4 the prediction. Which cards would you turn over for the evidence that you need to check the analyst's claim?

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