Question: Logitech is considering a project to construct a new product. The life of the project will be five years. A survey which cost $ 4

Logitech is considering a project to construct a new product. The life of the project will be five years. A survey which cost $4 million has shown that the efficiency of the project may be high (probability 40%) or low (probability 60%). If the efficiency is high, the sales revenue from operating the new project will be $600 million in the first year and then grow at 5% each year. If it is low, the sales revenue will be 250 million in the first year and then grow at 5% each year.
Variable costs: 35% of sales revenue.
Fixed costs of new project: estimated to be $20 million each year, excluding depreciation. The New project will cost $850 million and depreciation allowances for tax purposes will be 20% each year on a reducing-balance basis.
New project will be scrapped at the end of the project and the scrap proceeds are estimated to be $30 million. Any unused depreciation allowance will be immediately applicable when the machine is sold.
Working capital of $30 million will be required at the start of the project and after one year this requirement will increase to $40 million. All working capital will be recovered at the end of the project. If the project is undertaken, Waltech plans to pay an additional $15 million in dividends to its shareholders in each year of the project's life.
The corporation tax rate is 15% and tax is payable in the same year as taxable profit arises.
The CFO determines the risk-free rate to be 10% and the market return to be 17%. Based on the movement of the companys stock prices, beta is calculated to be 2.0. The company has a pre-tax cost of debt of 15%. Market value of equity comprises 70% while market value of debt comprises 30% of capital employed
Use the WACC calculated above to calculate the net present value (NPV) of the `best case' and `worst case' outcomes for the logitech new project, assuming investment would occur immediately. What is the expected net present value of the project?

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