Question: (*) Mr. Fail-weather usually checks the forecast before deciding to carry an umbrella. During the Fall semester, the formast is rain 80 % of the

 (*) Mr. Fail-weather usually checks the forecast before deciding to carry

an umbrella. During the Fall semester, the formast is rain 80 %

(*) Mr. Fail-weather usually checks the forecast before deciding to carry an umbrella. During the Fall semester, the formast is rain 80 % of the time. If the formast is \"rain\" , the probability of actually having rain that day is 70 %. On the other hand, if the forecast is \"no rain\

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