Net Present Value, Uncertainty

For discount factors use Exhibit 12B-1 and Exhibit 12B-2.

Ondi Airlines is interested in acquiring a new aircraft to service a new route. The route will be from Tulsa to Denver. The aircraft will fly one round-trip daily except for scheduled maintenance days. There are 15 maintenance days scheduled each year. The seating capacity of the aircraft is 150. Flights are expected to be fully booked. The average revenue per passenger per flight (one-way) is $235. Annual operating costs of the aircraft follow:

Fuel	$1,750,000
Flight personnel	750,000
Food and beverages	100,000
Maintenance	550,000
Other	100,000
Total	$3,250,000

The aircraft will cost $120,000,000 and has an expected life of 20 years. The company requires a 12% return. Assume there are no income taxes. Assume 365 days in a year.

Required:

1. Calculate the NPV for the aircraft. $fill in the blank 1

Should the company buy it?

YesNoYes

2. In discussing the proposal, the marketing manager for the airline believes that the assumption of 100% booking is unrealistic. He believes that the booking rate will be somewhere between 70% and 90%, with the most likely rate being 80%. Recalculate the NPV by using an 80% seating capacity. Round to the nearest dollar. $fill in the blank 3

Should the aircraft be purchased?

YesNoYes

3. Calculate the average seating rate that would be needed so that NPV will equal zero. Round your final answer to the nearest percent. Round intermediate calculations to the nearest whole number. Seats to be sold needs to be rounded up. fill in the blank 5 %

4. Conceptual Connection: Suppose that the price per passenger could be increased by 10% without any effect on demand. What is the average seating rate now needed to achieve a NPV equal to zero? Round your final answer to the nearest whole percent. Round intermediate calculations to the nearest whole number. fill in the blank 6 %