Question: ou are using an exponential smoothing model for forecasting. The running sum of the forecast error statistics ( RSFE ) are calculated each time a

ou are using an exponential smoothing model for forecasting. The running sum of the forecast error statistics

(

RSFE

)

are calculated each time a forecast is generated. You find the last RSFE to be

34 .

Originally the forecasting model used was selected because it's relatively low MAD of

0.4 .

To determine when it is time to reevaluate the usefulness of the exponential smoothing model you compute tracking signals. Which of the following is the resulting tracking signal?

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