Question: Please finish the following questions using Excel with appropriate formulas; Q2. Forecasting ABC Company is creating the production plan for the coming month. The company
Please finish the following questions using Excel with appropriate formulas;
Q2. Forecasting
ABC Company is creating the production plan for the coming month. The company has collected the following data on the average marketing demand during the past 21 months.
| Month | Demand |
| 1 | 60 |
| 2 | 65 |
| 3 | 67 |
| 4 | 58 |
| 5 | 59 |
| 6 | 56 |
| 7 | 65 |
| 8 | 65 |
| 9 | 69 |
| 10 | 60 |
| 11 | 70 |
| 12 | 71 |
| 13 | 64 |
| 14 | 75 |
| 15 | 70 |
| 16 | 72 |
| 17 | 65 |
| 18 | 77 |
| 19 | 62 |
| 20 | 59 |
- Using a three-month moving average, forecast demand for month 21.
- Using a three-month weighted average with the most recent month weighted 0.55, the next most recent month weighted 0.35, and the third month weighted 0.1, forecast the demand for month 21.
- Compute an exponentially smoothed forecasting using = 0.32 and forecast the demand 21.
- Compare the forecast in (a), (b), and (c) using MAD. Indicate the most accurate forecasting method.
- Compute the tracking signal for the most accurate method (based on MAD value), and construct a control chart. Comment on the forecasting result.
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