Question: Please provide a detailed answer using SimpleExponentialForecasting showing all steps involved, formulas, and all parts of the question solved without using CHATGPT. For a given

Please provide a detailed answer using SimpleExponentialForecasting showing all steps involved, formulas, and all parts of the question solved without using CHATGPT.

  • For a given time series of sales, the training set consists of 50 months. The first five months'data isshowninthe followingtable:
Month Sales SimpleExponential Error
October19 27
November19 31
December19 58
January20 63
February 20 59

A) Computethesalesforecast forJanuary20andFebruary 20basedona simpleexponential method with w= 4. Provide your answers in the table above and show calculations.

B) Compute theforecast errorfortheabove forecast.Provideyouranswers inthetable.

SimpleExponentialForecastingattimet+1:

Ft+1= At+(1- ) Ft

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