Question: Please solve this by hand. Transactions should be clearly written. You have been saving some money you want to invest. The COVID-19 pandemic is almost

  1. Please solve this by hand. Transactions should be clearly written.

You have been saving some money you want to invest. The COVID-19 pandemic is almost over and you have determined the following payoff utilities for the alternatives and the probable economic condition you face:

State of Nature

0.1

0.2

0.7

Decision

Alternative

Better Econ

Conditions

Stable Econ

Conditions

Worse Econ

Conditions

Savings Account

500

500

500

Existing Business

700

600

450

Start up Business

950

600

400

Home repair Business

300

800

800

What is the payoff and decision for the following criteria?

a) Equal Likelihood: Decision __________ Payoff __________

b) MiniMax regret: Decision __________ Payoff __________

c) Expected Value: Decision __________ Payoff __________

d) What is the Expected value of perfect information? ___________________

e) Expected Opportunity Loss: Decision __________ Payoff __________

If you can't do 5 options, eliminate the e option (expected opportunity loss) but please do the option of a,b,c,d

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