Question: Problem 1: Choose between Prospect A: $2,500 with probability 0.33 $2,400 with probability 0.66 Zero with probability 0.01 Prospect B: $2,400 with probability 1.00 Problem
Problem 1: Choose between
| Prospect A: | $2,500 with probability | 0.33 |
|
| $2,400 with probability | 0.66 |
|
| Zero with probability | 0.01 |
| Prospect B: | $2,400 with probability | 1.00 |
Problem 2: Choose between
| Prospect C: | $2,500 with probability | 0.33 |
|
| Zero with probability | 0.67 |
| Prospect D: | $2,400 with probability | 0.34 |
|
| Zero with probability | 0.66 |
It has been shown by Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky (1979, Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk, Econometrica 47(2), 263-291) that more people choose B when presented with problem 1 and when presented with problem 2, most people choose C. These choices violate expected utility theory. Why?
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