QUESTION 3 (20 MARKS) 3.1 Bread Ahead Bakery has a plant processing Deluxe breakfast rolls and wants to better understand its capability. Last week the facility produced 148,000 rolls. The effective capacity is 175,000 rolls. The production line operates 7 days per week, with three 8 hour shifts per day. The line was designed to process the nut filled cinnamon flavoured Deluxe roll at a rate of 1,200 per hour. Determine the design capacity, utilization and efficiency for this plant when producing the Deluxe roll. (10 marks) 3.2 The same bakery has decided to increase its facilities by adding one additional process line. The firm will have two process lines, each working 7 days a week, 3 shifts per day, 8 hours per shift with an effective capacity of 300,000 rolls. This addition however will reduce overall system efficiency to 85%. Compute the expected production with this new effective capacity and determine utilisation. (10 marks) QUESTION 4 (20 MARKS) The table provided presents the demand for heart transplants at Universitas Academic Hospital which has improved steadily over the past few years: Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 Heart Transplants 45 50 52 56 58 ? The clinical manager predicted 6 years ago that demand in year 1 would be 41 surgeries. 4.1 Use the exponential smoothing with a smoothing constant of 0.6 to develop forecasts for years to 2 through to 6. (6 marks) 4.2 Use a 3-year moving average to forecast demand in years 4, 5, and 6. (4 marks) 4.3 Use the least squares trend equation forecast demand for period 6. (10 marks)