Question: QUESTION: Excel Calculations Required: Find an appropriate weighted average cost of capital (WACC) to use to discount Precision Castparts (PCC) free cash flows. Use comparable

QUESTION:

Excel Calculations Required:

  1. Find an appropriate weighted average cost of capital (WACC) to use to discount Precision Castparts (PCC) free cash flows. Use comparable company information given in the case to calculate WACC.
  2. Perform a comparable multiples valuation analysis of PCC.
  3. Perform a comparableprecedent transactions valuation analysis of PCC.
  4. Find the value of PCC using discounted cash flow discounted by WACC. Do only the DCF from the PCC Historical Forecast.
  5. Perform a sensitivity analysis for your assigned set of cash flows; change two or more variables that impact the price you compute; be certain to change each variable individually, not simultaneously.
Berkshire Hathaway Divisions
Dec. 31, 2011 Dec. 31, 2012 Dec. 31, 2013 Dec. 31, 2014 Dec. 31, 2015 Average
Pct by Division (from Revenue)
Insurance and Other 77.07% 75.92% 76.03% 75.45% 77.27% 76.35%
Finance and Financial Product 1.47% 4.03% 4.89% 3.65% 3.76% 3.56%
Railroad, Utilities, and Energy 21.46% 20.06% 19.08% 20.90% 18.98% 20.10%
BRK.a Dec. 31, 2011 Dec. 31, 2012 Dec. 31, 2013 Dec. 31, 2014 Dec. 31, 2015 Average
Provisional tax rate 29.83% 31.14% 31.08% 28.23% 30.14% 30.08%
PRECISION CASTPARTS CORP
In millions Apr 1, Apr 1, Apr 1, Apr 1, Apr 1,
Consolidated Income Statement 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Net sales 6,208.70 7,201.90 8,347.00 9,533.00 10,005.00
Gross profit
COGS 4,154.40 4,769.80 5,440.00 5,961.00 6,427.00
D&A 163.8 169.8 214 292 325
Selling and administrative expenses 389 446.4 534 621 641
Restructuring expense 0 0 0 8
Interest expense 13.5 12.8 38 76 69
Interest income -4.5 -7.6 -7 -5 -4
Total operating expense 4,716.20 5,391.20 6,219.00 6,945.00 7,466.00
Earnings before interest and taxes (Operating Profit) 1,492.50 1,810.70 2,128.00 2,588.00 2,539.00
Interest income 4.5 7.6 7 5 4
Interest expense 13.5 12.8 38 76 69
Earnings before taxes 1,483.50 1,805.50 2,097.00 2,517.00 2,474.00
Income tax expense -499.7 -594 -695 -830 -816
Equity in earnings unconsolidated affiliates 16.6 14.6 0.6 1 -175
Total other income (expense), net -483.1 -579.4 -694.4 -829 -991
Net income from continuing operations 1,009.40 1,231.30 1,433.60 1,759.00 1,548.00
Net (loss) income discontinued operations 4.1 -5.5 -4 25 -15
Net income 1,013.50 1,225.80 1,429.60 1,784.00 1,533.00
Net income to noncontrolling interest -1.3 -1.7 -3 -7 -3
Net income attributable to PCC 1,012.20 1,224.10 1,426.60 1,777.00 1,530.00
Net income per share:
Basic 7.1 8.48 9.79 12.2 10.73
Diluted $7.04 8.41 9.72 12.12 10.66
Number of shares used in per share calculations:
Basic 142.7 144.4 145.7 145.6 142.6
Diluted 143.9 145.6 146.7 146.6 143.5
PRECISION CASTPARTS CORP
As of
In millions Apr 1, Apr 1, Apr 1, Apr 1, Apr 1,
Consolidated Balance Sheet 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Assets:
Cash and cash equivalents $1,159.00 $698.70 $280.20 $361.00 $474.00
Receivables $978.70 $1,186.40 $1,509.30 $1,568.00 $1,710.00
Inventories $1,459.40 $1,815.30 $2,981.80 $3,426.00 $3,640.00
Prepaid expenses and other current assets $21.00 $29.40 $159.30 $105.00 $81.00
Income tax receivable $20.00 $7.80 $5.00 $5.00 $37.00
Deferred income taxes $0.00 $101.40 $13.00 $2.00
Discontinued operations $12.50 $48.20 $43.20 $29.00 $28.00
Total current assets $3,650.60 $3,785.80 $5,080.20 $5,507.00 $5,972.00
Property, plant and equipment:
Land $86.20 $91.20 $137.80 $169.00 $192.00
Buildings and improvements $332.60 $357.30 $464.30 $523.00 $578.00
Machinery and equipment $1,856.00 $2,015.20 $2,671.60 $2,988.00 $3,234.00
Construction in progress $85.40 $144.80 $256.60 $298.00 $324.00
Property, plant and equipment, gross $2,360.20 $2,608.50 $3,530.30 $3,978.00 $4,328.00
Accumulated depreciation ($1,165.40) ($1,286.30) ($1,441.10) ($1,678.00) ($1,854.00)
Net property, plant and equipment $1,194.80 $1,322.20 $2,089.20 $2,300.00 $2,474.00
Goodwill $2,889.20 $3,514.30 $5,906.70 $6,613.00 $6,661.00
Acquired intangible assets, net $455.10 $1,228.10 $3,030.40 $3,440.00 $3,744.00
Investment in unconsolidated affiliates $411.90 $442.80 $445.40 $416.00 $238.00
Other assets $309.00 $195.40 $300.10 $262.00 $311.00
Discontinued operations $45.30 $70.20 $44.00 $48.00 $28.00
Total noncurrent assets $5,305.30 $6,773.00 $11,815.80 $13,079.00 $13,456.00
Total assets $8,955.90 $10,558.80 $16,896.00 $18,586.00 $19,428.00
Liabilities:
Long-term debt currently due $14.70 $0.50 $204.00 $2.00 $1,093.00
Accounts payable $607.80 $713.70 $941.00 $1,039.00 $1,162.00
Accrued liabilities $304.00 $335.00 $552.20 $554.00 $559.00
Deferred income taxes $9.30 $1.40 $0.00 $0.00
Discontinued operations $6.20 $20.30 $14.40 $13.00 $13.00
Total current liabilities $942.00 $1,070.90 $1,711.60 $1,608.00 $2,827.00
Long-term debt $221.90 $207.70 $3,603.20 $3,569.00 $3,493.00
Pension and other benefit obligations $252.50 $358.90 $548.30 $442.00 $678.00
Other long-term liabilities $180.60 $279.60 $456.50 $598.00 $546.00
Deferred income taxes $194.40 $259.10 $761.40 $950.00 $924.00
Discontinued operations $0.00 $17.80 $10.60 $6.00 $3.00
Total noncurrent liabilities $849.40 $1,123.10 $5,380.00 $5,565.00 $5,644.00
Total liabilities $1,791.40 $2,194.00 $7,091.60 $7,173.00 $8,471.00
Shareholder's equity:
Preferred stock $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Common stock $143.70 $145.30 $146.20 $145.00 $139.00
Paid-in capital $1,455.70 $1,653.60 $1,776.80 $1,487.00 $60.00
Retained earnings $5,796.70 $7,003.50 $8,412.60 $10,172.00 $11,685.00
Accumulated other loss ($234.60) ($441.70) ($552.20) ($418.00) ($955.00)
Noncontrolling interest $3.00 $4.10 $21.00 $27.00 $28.00
Total shareholder's equity $7,164.50 $8,364.80 $9,804.40 $11,413.00 $10,957.00
Total liabilities/shareholder's equity $8,955.90 $10,558.80 $16,896.00 $18,586.00 $19,428.00
PCC Revenue by Segment 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Investment Cast Products 2,096 2,327 2,480 2,462 2,536
% growth 11.02% 6.57% -0.73% 3.01%
Forged Products 2,768 3,177 3,552 4,189 4,259
% growth 14.78% 11.80% 17.93% 1.67%
Airframe Products 1,345 1,698 2,315 2,882 3,210
% growth 26.25% 36.34% 24.49% 11.38%
Total 6,209 7,202 8,347 9,533 10,005
% growth 15.99% 15.90% 14.21% 4.95%
Berkshire Hathaway
Income Statement - USD ($) $ in Millions 12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2011 Dec. 31, 2012 Dec. 31, 2013 Dec. 31, 2014 Dec. 31, 2015 Number of shares Price/share Market Value
' ' A shares 1.643 213,500 350,781
Total revenues 143,688 162,463 182,150 194,673 210,821 B shares 2465 142.7 351,854
Costs and expenses: Total 702,635
Interest expense 2,801 3,253 3,515
Total costs and expenses 128,374 140,227 153,354 166,568 175,875
Earnings before income taxes 15,314 22,236 28,796 28,105 34,946
Income tax expense 4,568 6,924 8,951 7,935 10,532
Net earnings 10,746 15,312 19,845 20,170 24,414
Less: Earnings attributable to noncontrolling interests 492 488 369 298 331
Net earnings attributable to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders 10,254 14,824 $ 19,476 $ 19,872 $ 24,083
Class A [Member] ' '
Net earnings per share attributable to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders:
Net earnings per share attributable to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders $6,215 $8,977 $ 11,850 $ 12,092 $ 14,656
Average equivalent Class A shares outstanding 1,649,891 1,651,294 1,643,613 1,643,456 1,643,183
Insurance and Other [Member]
Revenues:
Insurance premiums earned 32,075 34,545 $ 36,684 $ 41,253 $ 41,294
Sales and service revenues 72,803 83,268 92,993 97,097 107,001
Interest, dividend and other investment income 4,792 4,534 4,934 5,026 5,235
Investment gains/losses 1,065 990 3,881 3,503 9,363
Total revenues 110,735 123,337 138,492 146,879 162,893
Costs and expenses:
Insurance losses and loss adjustment expenses 20,829 20,113 21,275 26,406 26,527
Life, annuity and health insurance benefits 4,879 5,114 5,072 5,181 5,413
Insurance underwriting expenses 6,119 7,693 7,248 6,998 7,517
Cost of sales and services 59,839 67,536 75,953 78,873 87,029
Selling, general and administrative expenses 8,670 10,503 11,732 12,198 13,723
Interest expense 308 397 395 419 460
Total costs and expenses 100,644 111,356 121,675 130,075 140,669
Railroad, Utilities and Energy [Member]
Revenues:
Total revenues 30,839 32,582 34,757 40,690 40,004
Costs and expenses: ' '
Cost of sales and operating expenses 22,736 23,816 25,157 29,378 27,650
Interest expense 1,703 1,745 1,865 2,378 2,653
Total costs and expenses 24,439 25,561 27,022 31,756 30,303
Finance and Financial Products ' '
Revenues: ' '
Sales and service revenues 2,391 2,537 4,635 5,094 5,430
Interest, dividend and other investment income 1,618 1,572 1,474 1,432 1,510
Investment gains/losses 209 472 184 72 10
Derivative gains/losses -2,104 1,963 2,608 506 974
Total revenues 2,114 6,544 8,901 7,104 7,924
Costs and expenses: ' '
Cost of sales and services 2,566 2,758 2,915
Selling, general and administrative expenses 2,638 2,708 1,550 1,523 1,586
Interest expense 653 602 541 456 402
Total costs and expenses $3,291 $3,310 $ 4,657 $ 4,737 $ 4,903
Berkshire Hathaway
Balance Sheets - USD ($) $ in Millions 12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2011 Dec. 31, 2012 Dec. 31, 2013 Dec. 31, 2014 Dec. 31, 2015
ASSETS
Cash and cash equivalents $37,299 $46,992 $48,186 $ 63,269 $ 71,730
Investments in fixed maturity securities 37,550 27,636 26,027
Investments in equity securities 76,991 88,346 117,505 117,470 111,822
Inventories 8,975 9,675 9,860 10,236 11,916
Goodwill 53,213 54,523 57,011 60,714 62,708
Total assets 392,647 427,452 484,931 525,867 552,257
LIABILITIES '
Income taxes, principally deferred 37,804 44,494 57,739 61,235 63,126
Total liabilities 223,686 235,864 260,446 282,840 293,630
Shareholders' equity: '
Common stock 8 8 8 8 8
Capital in excess of par value 37,807 37,230 35,472 35,573 35,620
Accumulated other comprehensive income 17,654 27,500 44,025 42,732 33,982
Retained earnings 109,448 124,272 143,748 163,620 187,703
Treasury stock, at cost -67 -1,363 -1,363 (1,763) (1,763)
Berkshire Hathaway shareholders' equity 164,850 187,647 221,890 240,170 255,550
Noncontrolling interests 4,111 3,941 2,595 2,857 3,077
Total shareholders' equity 168,961 191,588 224,485 243,027 258,627
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity 392,647 427,452 484,931 525,867 552,257
Insurance and Other [Member] '
ASSETS '
Cash and cash equivalents 33,513 42,358 42,433 57,974 61,181
Investments in fixed maturity securities 31,222 36,708 28,785 27,397 25,988
Investments in equity securities 76,063 87,081 115,464 115,529 110,212
Other investments 13,111 10,184 12,334 16,346 15,998
Investments in The Kraft Heinz Company ' 12,111 11,660 23,424
Receivables 19,012 21,753 20,280 21,852 23,303
Inventories 8,975 9,675 9,860 10,236 11,916
Property, plant and equipment 18,177 19,188 13,623 14,153 15,540
Goodwill 32,125 33,274 33,067 34,959 37,188
Other intangible assets 9,203 9,148
Deferred charges reinsurance assumed 7,772 7,687
Other 18,121 17,875 19,113 6,748 6,697
Total assets 250,319 278,096 307,070 333,829 348,282
LIABILITIES '
Losses and loss adjustment expenses 63,819 64,160 64,866 71,477 73,144
Unearned premiums 8,910 10,237 10,770 11,944 13,311
Life, annuity and health insurance benefits 9,924 10,943 11,681 13,261 14,497
Other policyholder liabilities 6,835 7,123
Accounts payable, accruals and other liabilities 18,466 21,149 21,979 16,472 17,879
Notes payable and other borrowings 13,768 13,535 12,440 11,854 14,599
Total liabilities 114,887 120,024 121,736 131,843 140,553
Railroad, Utilities and Energy [Member] '
ASSETS
Cash and cash equivalents 2,246 2,570 3,400 3,001 3,437
Property, plant and equipment 82,214 87,684 102,482 115,054 120,279
Goodwill 20,056 20,213 22,603 24,418 24,178
Regulatory assets 4,253 4,285
Other 12,861 13,441 16,149 11,817 12,833
Total assets 117,377 123,908 144,634 158,543 165,012
LIABILITIES '
Accounts payable, accruals and other liabilities 12,763 11,994
Regulatory liabilities 13,016 13,113 14,557 2,832 3,033
Notes payable and other borrowings 32,580 36,156 46,655 55,306 57,739
Total liabilities 45,596 49,269 61,212 70,901 72,766
Finance and Financial Products [Member] '
ASSETS '
Cash and cash equivalents 1,540 2,064 2,353 2,294 7,112
Investments in fixed maturity securities 966 842 239 39
Investments in equity and fixed maturity securities 3,810 1,432 1,506 1,299 411
Investments in equity securities 590 938 1,060 372
Other investments 4,882 5,617 5,978 5,719
Loans and finance receivables 13,934 12,809 12,826 12,566 12,772
Property, plant and equipment and assets held for lease 7,700 8,037 9,347
Goodwill 1,032 1,036 1,341 1,337 1,342
Other 3,669 3,225 1,884 1,984 2,260
Total assets 24,951 25,448 33,227 33,495 38,963
LIABILITIES '
Accounts payable, accruals and other liabilities 1,224 1,099 1,299 1,321 1,398
Derivative contract liabilities 10,139 7,933 5,331 4,810 3,836
Notes payable and other borrowings 14,036 13,045 13,129 12,730 11,951
Total liabilities $25,399 $22,077 $19,759 $ 18,861 $ 17,185
Berkshire Hathway
Statements of Cash Flows - USD ($) $ in Millions 12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2011 Dec. 31, 2012 Dec. 31, 2013 Dec. 31, 2014 Dec. 31, 2015
Cash flows from operating activities: ' '
Net earnings $10,746 $15,312 $ 19,845 $ 20,170 $ 24,414
Adjustments to reconcile net earnings to operating cash flows: ' '
Investment gains/losses -1,274 -1,462 (4,065) (3,575) (9,373)
Depreciation and amortization 5,492 6,154 6,508 7,370 7,779
Other 2 -213 373 (341) 751
Changes in operating assets and liabilities: ' '
Losses and loss adjustment expenses 3,063 -421 578 7,404 2,262
Deferred charges reinsurance assumed -329 121 (340) (3,413) 84
Unearned premiums 852 1,134 519 1,159 1,392
Receivables and originated loans -1,159 -1,610 1,035 (1,890) (1,650)
Derivative contract assets and liabilities 1,881 -2,183 (2,430) (520) (974)
Income taxes 1,493 1,710 3,514 4,905 5,718
Other -291 2,408 2,167 741 1,088
Net cash flows from operating activities 20,476 20,950 27,704 32,010 31,491
Cash flows from investing activities: ' '
Purchases of fixed maturity securities -7,362 -8,250 (7,546) (7,774) (8,186)
Purchases of equity securities -15,660 -7,376 (8,558) (7,014) (10,220)
Investments in The Kraft Heinz Company and other investments -5,000 ' (12,250) (3,000) (5,258)
Sales of fixed maturity securities 3,353 2,982 4,311 1,697 2,172
Redemptions and maturities of fixed maturity securities 6,872 6,064 11,203 6,795 6,583
Sales and redemptions of equity securities 14,163 8,088 3,869 8,896 8,747
Purchases of loans and finance receivables -1,657 -650 (490) (181) (179)
Collections of loans and finance receivables 2,915 1,714 654 885 492
Acquisitions of businesses, net of cash acquired -8,685 -3,188 (6,431) (4,824) (4,902)
Purchases of property, plant and equipment -8,191 -9,775 (11,087) (15,185) (16,082)
Other 63 -183 (1,210) 336 165
Net cash flows from investing activities -19,189 -10,574 (27,535) (19,369) (26,668)
Cash flows from financing activities: ' '
Changes in short term borrowings, net 301 -309 (1,317) 932 (378)
Acquisitions of noncontrolling interests -1,878 -2,096 (2,890) (1,287) (72)
Other financing activities 18 48 (134) 22 (161)
Net cash flows from financing activities -2,217 -806 961 2,731 3,803
Effects of foreign currency exchange rate changes 2 123 64 (289) (165)
Increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents -928 9,693 1,194 15,083 8,461
Cash and cash equivalents: ' '
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year 38,227 37,299 46,992 48,186 63,269
Cash and cash equivalents at end of year 37,299 46,992 48,186 63,269 71,730
Insurance and Other [Member] ' '
Adjustments to reconcile net earnings to operating cash flows: ' '
Investment gains/losses -1,065 -990 (3,881) (3,503) (9,363)
Cash flows from financing activities: ' '
Proceeds from borrowings 2,091 1,820 2,622 845 3,358
Repayments of borrowings -2,307 -2,078 (2,750) (1,289) (1,916)
Cash and cash equivalents: ' '
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year ' 33,513 42,358 42,433 57,974
Cash and cash equivalents at end of year 33,513 42,358 42,614 57,974 61,181
Railroad, Utilities and Energy [Member] ' '
Cash flows from financing activities: ' '
Proceeds from borrowings 2,290 4,707 7,491 5,765 5,479
Repayments of borrowings -2,335 -2,119 (1,596) (1,862) (1,725)
Cash and cash equivalents: ' '
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year ' 2,246 2,570 3,400 3,001
Cash and cash equivalents at end of year 2,246 2,570 3,400 3,001 3,437
Finance and Financial Products [Member] ' '
Adjustments to reconcile net earnings to operating cash flows: ' '
Investment gains/losses -209 -472 (184) (72) (10)
Cash flows from financing activities: ' '
Proceeds from borrowings 1,562 2,352 3,462 1,148 1,045
Repayments of borrowings -1,959 -3,131 (3,927) (1,543) (1,827)
Cash and cash equivalents: ' '
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year ' 1,540 2,064 2,353 2,294
Cash and cash equivalents at end of year $1,540 $2,064 $ 2,353 $ 2,294 $ 7,112

PCC FORECASTED FINANCIALS USING HISTORICAL FORECASTS
In millions
Period 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Year 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue 10,005 10,605 11,242 11,916 12,631 13,389 14,192 15,044 15,946 16,903 17,917
YoY growth 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06
Cost structure
COGS,net D&A 6,825 6,943 7,359 7,801 8,269 8,765 9,291 9,848 10,439 11,065 11,729
% of revenue 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65
SG&A 641 717 760 805 854 905 959 1,017 1,078 1,142 1,211
% of revenue 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07
EBITDA 2,539 2,946 3,123 3,310 3,509 3,719 3,942 4,179 4,430 4,695 4,977
Income tax rate = 32%
Current Assets 6,458 6,183 6,554 6,947 7,364 7,806 8,274 8,771 9,297 9,855 10788
Current Liabilities 4,756 4,356 4,766 5,052 5,356 5,677 6,018 6,379 6,761 7,167 7658
Capital Expenditures 702 392.40 415.94 440.90 467.35 495.39 425.77 451.31 478.39 507.10 537.52
Depreciation 325 311 329 349 370 392 416 441 467 495 525
Share Count (Diluted) 143.5
Table 6: Comparable Information
Source: PCC financial filings
Panel A
Comparable Company Information
Enterprise Value /
CY2015E CY2016E
EBITDA EBITDA
Diversified Industrial Companies
United Technologies Corporation 9.0x 8.9x
Honeywell International Inc. 10.6x 10.0x
Eaton Corporation 10.6x 9.7x
Parker-Hannifin Corporation 9.4x 9.1x
Aerospace& Defense Companies
Rolls Royce Holdings plc 7.1x 7.8x
Rockwell Collins Inc. 10.4x 9.9x
GKN plc 6.5x 5.8x
Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. 7.5x 7.3x
Meggitt PLC 10.4x 9.7x
B/E Aerospace Inc. 12.1x 11.5x
Woodward, Inc. 10.9x 9.8x

Triumph Group, Inc.

7.2x 6.4x
Table 6b. Comparable Transactions
Date Acquirer Target Enterprise
Announced Value /
LTM
EBITDA
Jul-15 Solvay SA Cytec Industries Inc. 15.2x
Mar-15 Alcoa Inc. RTI International Metals, Inc. 13.1x
Jun-14 Alcoa Inc. Firth Rixson Limited 14.3x
May-14 Warburg Pincus LLC Wencor Group, LLC 13.5x
May-14 Cobham plc Aeroflex Holding Corp. 11.4x
Aug-13 Rockwell Collins, Inc. ARINC Incorporated 11.1x
Dec-12 General Electric Company Avio S.p.A. 8.5x
Nov-12 Precision Castparts Corp. Titanium Metals Corporation 13.8x
Jul-12 GKN plc Volvo Aero 6.3x
Sep-11 United Technologies Corporation Goodrich Corporation 12.7x
Nov-10 Allegheny Technologies Incorporated Ladish Co., Inc. 13.2x
Sep-10 TransDigm Group Incorporated McKechnie Aerospace Holdings Inc. 12.9x
Jan-07 General Electric Company Smiths Aerospace 12.4x
Table 7 Competitor Information
Source: Bloomberg
Beta 2015 Revenues EBIT EBITDA Net Income Tax Rate
United Technologies Corporation (UTX-US) 1.11 56,098.00 7,750.00 9,613.00 7,608.00 33%
Honeywell International (HON-US) 1.06 38,581.00 6,806.00 7,699.00 4,768.00 26%
Eaton (ETN-US) 1.54 20,855.00 2,342.00 3,267.00 1,979.00 32%
Parker-Hannifin (PH-US) 1.49 11,360.80 1,275.30 1,582.10 806.8 29%
Rolls Royce Holdings (RR.-LN) 1.17 20,929.50 2,320.90 3,556.10 126.6 25%
Rockwell Collins (COL-US) 0.73 5,244.00 1,008.00 1,260.00 686 28%
GKN (GKN-LN) 1.32 7,231.00 560 901 197 24%
Spirit AeroSystems Holdings (SPR-US) 1.12 6,643.90 863 1,044.10 788 3%
Meggitt (MGGT-LN) 0.79 1,647.20 247.2 401.7 182.1 20%
B/E Aerospace (BEAV-US) 1.09 2,729.60 452.3 537.6 285.7 22%
Woodward (WWD-US) 1.23 2,038.30 263.9 339.1 181.5 25%
Triumph Group (TGI-US) 1.45 3,886.10 -176.3 1.5 -1,048.00 32%
Total Long-term Shareholders' Stock Price Number of
Debt Debt Equity 12/31/2015 Shares
United Technologies Corporation 20,425.00 19,320.00 27,358.00 96.07 836,432,010
Honeywell International (HON-US) 12,068.00 5,554.00 18,283.00 103.57 769,322,910
Eaton (ETN-US) 8,449.00 7,781.00 15,186.00 52.04 458,900,000
Parker-Hannifin (PH-US) 3,036.80 2,675.00 4,575.30 96.98 135,102,576
Rolls Royce Holdings (RR.-LN) 4,870.20 4,252.20 7,395.30 575.00 183,867,700
Rockwell Collins (COL-US) 2,128.00 1,680.00 1,875.00 92.30 131,131,426
GKN (GKN-LN) 1,034.00 867 1,863.00 308.40 167,410,000
Spirit AeroSystems Holdings 1,133.20 1,097.60 2,119.50 50.07 135,521,540
Meggitt (MGGT-LN) 1,198.50 1,194.40 2,178.50 374.70 775,167,523
B/E Aerospace (BEAV-US) 2,034.10 2,034.10 55.5 42.37 102,110,278
Woodward (WWD-US) 959.4 850 1,153.10 49.66 61,915,755
Triumph Group (TGI-US) 1,417.30 1,374.90 934.9 39.75 49,328,999
Table 8: Market Information
Source: Duff and Phelps 2016 Valuation Handbook
Long term (20 year) US Treasury Bond Yield: 2.68% 2.68%
Equity risk premium: 6.9% 6.90%
Long-term growth rate: 1.5% (Source: http://www.econ.yale.edu/~shiller/data.htm) 1.50%
Table 9: PCC Stock Prices
05-Jan-2014 267.79 04-Jan-2015 238.44 03-Jan-2016 232.01
12-Jan-2014 271.22 11-Jan-2015 229.55 10-Jan-2016 232.07
19-Jan-2014 270.62 18-Jan-2015 199.63 17-Jan-2016 232.11
26-Jan-2014 255.46 25-Jan-2015 207.85 24-Jan-2016 231.48
02-Feb-2014 254.75 01-Feb-2015 200.1 31-Jan-2016 234.95
09-Feb-2014 260.2 08-Feb-2015 203.81
16-Feb-2014 260.44 15-Feb-2015 205.54
23-Feb-2014 256.4 22-Feb-2015 219.61
02-Mar-2014 257.88 01-Mar-2015 216.3
09-Mar-2014 262.96 08-Mar-2015 212.71
16-Mar-2014 252.07 15-Mar-2015 204.59
23-Mar-2014 252.8 22-Mar-2015 210.16
30-Mar-2014 247.58 29-Mar-2015 212.18
06-Apr-2014 253.84 05-Apr-2015 210.8
13-Apr-2014 244.41 12-Apr-2015 213
20-Apr-2014 257.18 19-Apr-2015 201.15
27-Apr-2014 251.7 26-Apr-2015 200.51
04-May-2014 254.33 03-May-2015 208.78
11-May-2014 255.28 10-May-2015 206.36
18-May-2014 240.21 17-May-2015 215.49
25-May-2014 249.02 24-May-2015 219.68
01-Jun-2014 252.98 31-May-2015 211.63
08-Jun-2014 272.75 07-Jun-2015 211.02
15-Jun-2014 265.64 14-Jun-2015 207.9
22-Jun-2014 265.61 21-Jun-2015 210.74
29-Jun-2014 254.36 28-Jun-2015 203.2
06-Jul-2014 254.89 05-Jul-2015 199.05
13-Jul-2014 255.8 12-Jul-2015 190.87
20-Jul-2014 257.39 19-Jul-2015 193.45
27-Jul-2014 232.86 26-Jul-2015 188.68
03-Aug-2014 229.25 02-Aug-2015 194.92
10-Aug-2014 233.83 09-Aug-2015 193.88
17-Aug-2014 239.67 16-Aug-2015 230.5
24-Aug-2014 242.98 23-Aug-2015 230.8
31-Aug-2014 244.06 30-Aug-2015 229.98
07-Sep-2014 241.18 06-Sep-2015 229.59
14-Sep-2014 239.96 13-Sep-2015 229.8
21-Sep-2014 245.68 20-Sep-2015 228.75
28-Sep-2014 239.5 27-Sep-2015 229.03
05-Oct-2014 231.62 04-Oct-2015 230.29
12-Oct-2014 223.62 11-Oct-2015 230.31
19-Oct-2014 226.32 18-Oct-2015 231.38
26-Oct-2014 223.47 25-Oct-2015 230.5
02-Nov-2014 220.7 01-Nov-2015 230.81
09-Nov-2014 226.25 08-Nov-2015 230.65
16-Nov-2014 226.21 15-Nov-2015 230.02
23-Nov-2014 236.99 22-Nov-2015 231
30-Nov-2014 237.9 29-Nov-2015 231.62
07-Dec-2014 242.7 06-Dec-2015 232.11
14-Dec-2014 230.2 13-Dec-2015 231.87
21-Dec-2014 237 20-Dec-2015 230.76
28-Dec-2014 241.26 27-Dec-2015 231.19
2014 Ratio Analysis
Precision Castparts Ratios
Profitability 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Gross margin 33.10% 33.80% 34.80% 37.50% 35.80%
Pre-tax operating profit margin 24.04% 25.14% 25.49% 27.15% 25.38%
EBITDA margin 26.70% 27.50% 28.10% 30.20% 28.60%
Net profit margin 16.30% 17.00% 17.10% 18.60% 15.32%
ROA 12.20% 12.50% 10.40% 10.00% 8.25%
ROE 14.10% 14.60% 14.60% 15.60% 13.99%
ROCE 14.10% 14.60% 14.60% 15.60% 14.00%
DuPont Ratio = PM*ATO*EM=ROE = NI/S*S/A*A/E
Liquidity
Current Ratio 3.88 3.54 2.97 3.42 2.11
Quick Ratio 2.27 1.76 1.05 1.20 0.77
Financial leverage
Capital Structure Leverage 1.25 1.26 1.72 1.63 1.77
Total debt to Equity 0.03 0.02 0.39 0.31 0.42
Long-term debt ratio 0.03 0.02 0.27 0.24 0.32
Liabilities to Equity 0.25 0.26 0.72 0.63 0.77
Total debt to total capital 0.03 0.02 0.28 0.24 0.30
Working capital to total capital 0.3 0.26 0.2 0.21 0.16
Coverage
Operating cash flow to total liabilities 0.58 0.47 0.21 0.26 0.2
Operating cash flow to total debt 4.39 4.99 0.38 0.53 0.37
Operating cash flow to capital expenditures -8.62 -5.41 -4.56 -5.36 -3.74
Interest coverage 110.56 141.46 56.00 34.05 36.80
Operating Leverage
Operating Leverage 1.33 1.1 1.52 -0.38
Efficiency/Activity
Asset turnover 0.69 0.68 0.49 0.51 0.51
Receivables turnover 6.34 6.07 5.53 6.08 5.85
Inventory turnover 2.85 2.63 1.82 1.74 1.77
Days sales outstanding 57.54 60.13 66.00 60.04 62.38
Days inventory on hand 128.22 138.91 200.07 209.78 206.72

QUESTION:

Excel Calculations Required:

  1. Find an appropriate weighted average cost of capital (WACC) to use to discount Precision Castparts (PCC) free cash flows. Use comparable company information given in the case to calculate WACC.
  2. Perform a comparable multiples valuation analysis of PCC.
  3. Perform a comparableprecedent transactions valuation analysis of PCC.
  4. Find the value of PCC using discounted cash flow discounted by WACC. Do only the DCF from the PCC Historical Forecast.
  5. Perform a sensitivity analysis for your assigned set of cash flows; change two or more variables that impact the price you compute; be certain to change each variable individually, not simultaneously.

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