Question: QUESTION: Excel Calculations Required: Find an appropriate weighted average cost of capital (WACC) to use to discount Precision Castparts (PCC) free cash flows. Use comparable
QUESTION:
Excel Calculations Required:
- Find an appropriate weighted average cost of capital (WACC) to use to discount Precision Castparts (PCC) free cash flows. Use comparable company information given in the case to calculate WACC.
- Perform a comparable multiples valuation analysis of PCC.
- Perform a comparableprecedent transactions valuation analysis of PCC.
- Find the value of PCC using discounted cash flow discounted by WACC. Do only the DCF from the PCC Historical Forecast.
- Perform a sensitivity analysis for your assigned set of cash flows; change two or more variables that impact the price you compute; be certain to change each variable individually, not simultaneously.
| Berkshire Hathaway Divisions | ||||||
| Dec. 31, 2011 | Dec. 31, 2012 | Dec. 31, 2013 | Dec. 31, 2014 | Dec. 31, 2015 | Average | |
| Pct by Division (from Revenue) | ||||||
| Insurance and Other | 77.07% | 75.92% | 76.03% | 75.45% | 77.27% | 76.35% |
| Finance and Financial Product | 1.47% | 4.03% | 4.89% | 3.65% | 3.76% | 3.56% |
| Railroad, Utilities, and Energy | 21.46% | 20.06% | 19.08% | 20.90% | 18.98% | 20.10% |
| BRK.a | Dec. 31, 2011 | Dec. 31, 2012 | Dec. 31, 2013 | Dec. 31, 2014 | Dec. 31, 2015 | Average |
| Provisional tax rate | 29.83% | 31.14% | 31.08% | 28.23% | 30.14% | 30.08% |
| PRECISION CASTPARTS CORP | |||||
| In millions | Apr 1, | Apr 1, | Apr 1, | Apr 1, | Apr 1, |
| Consolidated Income Statement | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 |
| Net sales | 6,208.70 | 7,201.90 | 8,347.00 | 9,533.00 | 10,005.00 |
| Gross profit | |||||
| COGS | 4,154.40 | 4,769.80 | 5,440.00 | 5,961.00 | 6,427.00 |
| D&A | 163.8 | 169.8 | 214 | 292 | 325 |
| Selling and administrative expenses | 389 | 446.4 | 534 | 621 | 641 |
| Restructuring expense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| Interest expense | 13.5 | 12.8 | 38 | 76 | 69 |
| Interest income | -4.5 | -7.6 | -7 | -5 | -4 |
| Total operating expense | 4,716.20 | 5,391.20 | 6,219.00 | 6,945.00 | 7,466.00 |
| Earnings before interest and taxes (Operating Profit) | 1,492.50 | 1,810.70 | 2,128.00 | 2,588.00 | 2,539.00 |
| Interest income | 4.5 | 7.6 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| Interest expense | 13.5 | 12.8 | 38 | 76 | 69 |
| Earnings before taxes | 1,483.50 | 1,805.50 | 2,097.00 | 2,517.00 | 2,474.00 |
| Income tax expense | -499.7 | -594 | -695 | -830 | -816 |
| Equity in earnings unconsolidated affiliates | 16.6 | 14.6 | 0.6 | 1 | -175 |
| Total other income (expense), net | -483.1 | -579.4 | -694.4 | -829 | -991 |
| Net income from continuing operations | 1,009.40 | 1,231.30 | 1,433.60 | 1,759.00 | 1,548.00 |
| Net (loss) income discontinued operations | 4.1 | -5.5 | -4 | 25 | -15 |
| Net income | 1,013.50 | 1,225.80 | 1,429.60 | 1,784.00 | 1,533.00 |
| Net income to noncontrolling interest | -1.3 | -1.7 | -3 | -7 | -3 |
| Net income attributable to PCC | 1,012.20 | 1,224.10 | 1,426.60 | 1,777.00 | 1,530.00 |
| Net income per share: | |||||
| Basic | 7.1 | 8.48 | 9.79 | 12.2 | 10.73 |
| Diluted | $7.04 | 8.41 | 9.72 | 12.12 | 10.66 |
| Number of shares used in per share calculations: | |||||
| Basic | 142.7 | 144.4 | 145.7 | 145.6 | 142.6 |
| Diluted | 143.9 | 145.6 | 146.7 | 146.6 | 143.5 |
| PRECISION CASTPARTS CORP | |||||
| As of | |||||
| In millions | Apr 1, | Apr 1, | Apr 1, | Apr 1, | Apr 1, |
| Consolidated Balance Sheet | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 |
| Assets: | |||||
| Cash and cash equivalents | $1,159.00 | $698.70 | $280.20 | $361.00 | $474.00 |
| Receivables | $978.70 | $1,186.40 | $1,509.30 | $1,568.00 | $1,710.00 |
| Inventories | $1,459.40 | $1,815.30 | $2,981.80 | $3,426.00 | $3,640.00 |
| Prepaid expenses and other current assets | $21.00 | $29.40 | $159.30 | $105.00 | $81.00 |
| Income tax receivable | $20.00 | $7.80 | $5.00 | $5.00 | $37.00 |
| Deferred income taxes | $0.00 | $101.40 | $13.00 | $2.00 | |
| Discontinued operations | $12.50 | $48.20 | $43.20 | $29.00 | $28.00 |
| Total current assets | $3,650.60 | $3,785.80 | $5,080.20 | $5,507.00 | $5,972.00 |
| Property, plant and equipment: | |||||
| Land | $86.20 | $91.20 | $137.80 | $169.00 | $192.00 |
| Buildings and improvements | $332.60 | $357.30 | $464.30 | $523.00 | $578.00 |
| Machinery and equipment | $1,856.00 | $2,015.20 | $2,671.60 | $2,988.00 | $3,234.00 |
| Construction in progress | $85.40 | $144.80 | $256.60 | $298.00 | $324.00 |
| Property, plant and equipment, gross | $2,360.20 | $2,608.50 | $3,530.30 | $3,978.00 | $4,328.00 |
| Accumulated depreciation | ($1,165.40) | ($1,286.30) | ($1,441.10) | ($1,678.00) | ($1,854.00) |
| Net property, plant and equipment | $1,194.80 | $1,322.20 | $2,089.20 | $2,300.00 | $2,474.00 |
| Goodwill | $2,889.20 | $3,514.30 | $5,906.70 | $6,613.00 | $6,661.00 |
| Acquired intangible assets, net | $455.10 | $1,228.10 | $3,030.40 | $3,440.00 | $3,744.00 |
| Investment in unconsolidated affiliates | $411.90 | $442.80 | $445.40 | $416.00 | $238.00 |
| Other assets | $309.00 | $195.40 | $300.10 | $262.00 | $311.00 |
| Discontinued operations | $45.30 | $70.20 | $44.00 | $48.00 | $28.00 |
| Total noncurrent assets | $5,305.30 | $6,773.00 | $11,815.80 | $13,079.00 | $13,456.00 |
| Total assets | $8,955.90 | $10,558.80 | $16,896.00 | $18,586.00 | $19,428.00 |
| Liabilities: | |||||
| Long-term debt currently due | $14.70 | $0.50 | $204.00 | $2.00 | $1,093.00 |
| Accounts payable | $607.80 | $713.70 | $941.00 | $1,039.00 | $1,162.00 |
| Accrued liabilities | $304.00 | $335.00 | $552.20 | $554.00 | $559.00 |
| Deferred income taxes | $9.30 | $1.40 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |
| Discontinued operations | $6.20 | $20.30 | $14.40 | $13.00 | $13.00 |
| Total current liabilities | $942.00 | $1,070.90 | $1,711.60 | $1,608.00 | $2,827.00 |
| Long-term debt | $221.90 | $207.70 | $3,603.20 | $3,569.00 | $3,493.00 |
| Pension and other benefit obligations | $252.50 | $358.90 | $548.30 | $442.00 | $678.00 |
| Other long-term liabilities | $180.60 | $279.60 | $456.50 | $598.00 | $546.00 |
| Deferred income taxes | $194.40 | $259.10 | $761.40 | $950.00 | $924.00 |
| Discontinued operations | $0.00 | $17.80 | $10.60 | $6.00 | $3.00 |
| Total noncurrent liabilities | $849.40 | $1,123.10 | $5,380.00 | $5,565.00 | $5,644.00 |
| Total liabilities | $1,791.40 | $2,194.00 | $7,091.60 | $7,173.00 | $8,471.00 |
| Shareholder's equity: | |||||
| Preferred stock | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Common stock | $143.70 | $145.30 | $146.20 | $145.00 | $139.00 |
| Paid-in capital | $1,455.70 | $1,653.60 | $1,776.80 | $1,487.00 | $60.00 |
| Retained earnings | $5,796.70 | $7,003.50 | $8,412.60 | $10,172.00 | $11,685.00 |
| Accumulated other loss | ($234.60) | ($441.70) | ($552.20) | ($418.00) | ($955.00) |
| Noncontrolling interest | $3.00 | $4.10 | $21.00 | $27.00 | $28.00 |
| Total shareholder's equity | $7,164.50 | $8,364.80 | $9,804.40 | $11,413.00 | $10,957.00 |
| Total liabilities/shareholder's equity | $8,955.90 | $10,558.80 | $16,896.00 | $18,586.00 | $19,428.00 |
| PCC Revenue by Segment | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | |
| Investment Cast Products | 2,096 | 2,327 | 2,480 | 2,462 | 2,536 | |
| % growth | 11.02% | 6.57% | -0.73% | 3.01% | ||
| Forged Products | 2,768 | 3,177 | 3,552 | 4,189 | 4,259 | |
| % growth | 14.78% | 11.80% | 17.93% | 1.67% | ||
| Airframe Products | 1,345 | 1,698 | 2,315 | 2,882 | 3,210 | |
| % growth | 26.25% | 36.34% | 24.49% | 11.38% | ||
| Total | 6,209 | 7,202 | 8,347 | 9,533 | 10,005 | |
| % growth | 15.99% | 15.90% | 14.21% | 4.95% |
| Berkshire Hathaway | ||||||||||
| Income Statement - USD ($) $ in Millions | 12 Months Ended | |||||||||
| Dec. 31, 2011 | Dec. 31, 2012 | Dec. 31, 2013 | Dec. 31, 2014 | Dec. 31, 2015 | Number of shares | Price/share | Market Value | |||
| ' | ' | A shares | 1.643 | 213,500 | 350,781 | |||||
| Total revenues | 143,688 | 162,463 | 182,150 | 194,673 | 210,821 | B shares | 2465 | 142.7 | 351,854 | |
| Costs and expenses: | Total | 702,635 | ||||||||
| Interest expense | 2,801 | 3,253 | 3,515 | |||||||
| Total costs and expenses | 128,374 | 140,227 | 153,354 | 166,568 | 175,875 | |||||
| Earnings before income taxes | 15,314 | 22,236 | 28,796 | 28,105 | 34,946 | |||||
| Income tax expense | 4,568 | 6,924 | 8,951 | 7,935 | 10,532 | |||||
| Net earnings | 10,746 | 15,312 | 19,845 | 20,170 | 24,414 | |||||
| Less: Earnings attributable to noncontrolling interests | 492 | 488 | 369 | 298 | 331 | |||||
| Net earnings attributable to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders | 10,254 | 14,824 | $ 19,476 | $ 19,872 | $ 24,083 | |||||
| Class A [Member] | ' | ' | ||||||||
| Net earnings per share attributable to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders: | ||||||||||
| Net earnings per share attributable to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders | $6,215 | $8,977 | $ 11,850 | $ 12,092 | $ 14,656 | |||||
| Average equivalent Class A shares outstanding | 1,649,891 | 1,651,294 | 1,643,613 | 1,643,456 | 1,643,183 | |||||
| Insurance and Other [Member] | ||||||||||
| Revenues: | ||||||||||
| Insurance premiums earned | 32,075 | 34,545 | $ 36,684 | $ 41,253 | $ 41,294 | |||||
| Sales and service revenues | 72,803 | 83,268 | 92,993 | 97,097 | 107,001 | |||||
| Interest, dividend and other investment income | 4,792 | 4,534 | 4,934 | 5,026 | 5,235 | |||||
| Investment gains/losses | 1,065 | 990 | 3,881 | 3,503 | 9,363 | |||||
| Total revenues | 110,735 | 123,337 | 138,492 | 146,879 | 162,893 | |||||
| Costs and expenses: | ||||||||||
| Insurance losses and loss adjustment expenses | 20,829 | 20,113 | 21,275 | 26,406 | 26,527 | |||||
| Life, annuity and health insurance benefits | 4,879 | 5,114 | 5,072 | 5,181 | 5,413 | |||||
| Insurance underwriting expenses | 6,119 | 7,693 | 7,248 | 6,998 | 7,517 | |||||
| Cost of sales and services | 59,839 | 67,536 | 75,953 | 78,873 | 87,029 | |||||
| Selling, general and administrative expenses | 8,670 | 10,503 | 11,732 | 12,198 | 13,723 | |||||
| Interest expense | 308 | 397 | 395 | 419 | 460 | |||||
| Total costs and expenses | 100,644 | 111,356 | 121,675 | 130,075 | 140,669 | |||||
| Railroad, Utilities and Energy [Member] | ||||||||||
| Revenues: | ||||||||||
| Total revenues | 30,839 | 32,582 | 34,757 | 40,690 | 40,004 | |||||
| Costs and expenses: | ' | ' | ||||||||
| Cost of sales and operating expenses | 22,736 | 23,816 | 25,157 | 29,378 | 27,650 | |||||
| Interest expense | 1,703 | 1,745 | 1,865 | 2,378 | 2,653 | |||||
| Total costs and expenses | 24,439 | 25,561 | 27,022 | 31,756 | 30,303 | |||||
| Finance and Financial Products | ' | ' | ||||||||
| Revenues: | ' | ' | ||||||||
| Sales and service revenues | 2,391 | 2,537 | 4,635 | 5,094 | 5,430 | |||||
| Interest, dividend and other investment income | 1,618 | 1,572 | 1,474 | 1,432 | 1,510 | |||||
| Investment gains/losses | 209 | 472 | 184 | 72 | 10 | |||||
| Derivative gains/losses | -2,104 | 1,963 | 2,608 | 506 | 974 | |||||
| Total revenues | 2,114 | 6,544 | 8,901 | 7,104 | 7,924 | |||||
| Costs and expenses: | ' | ' | ||||||||
| Cost of sales and services | 2,566 | 2,758 | 2,915 | |||||||
| Selling, general and administrative expenses | 2,638 | 2,708 | 1,550 | 1,523 | 1,586 | |||||
| Interest expense | 653 | 602 | 541 | 456 | 402 | |||||
| Total costs and expenses | $3,291 | $3,310 | $ 4,657 | $ 4,737 | $ 4,903 |
| Berkshire Hathaway | |||||
| Balance Sheets - USD ($) $ in Millions | 12 Months Ended | ||||
| Dec. 31, 2011 | Dec. 31, 2012 | Dec. 31, 2013 | Dec. 31, 2014 | Dec. 31, 2015 | |
| ASSETS | |||||
| Cash and cash equivalents | $37,299 | $46,992 | $48,186 | $ 63,269 | $ 71,730 |
| Investments in fixed maturity securities | 37,550 | 27,636 | 26,027 | ||
| Investments in equity securities | 76,991 | 88,346 | 117,505 | 117,470 | 111,822 |
| Inventories | 8,975 | 9,675 | 9,860 | 10,236 | 11,916 |
| Goodwill | 53,213 | 54,523 | 57,011 | 60,714 | 62,708 |
| Total assets | 392,647 | 427,452 | 484,931 | 525,867 | 552,257 |
| LIABILITIES | ' | ||||
| Income taxes, principally deferred | 37,804 | 44,494 | 57,739 | 61,235 | 63,126 |
| Total liabilities | 223,686 | 235,864 | 260,446 | 282,840 | 293,630 |
| Shareholders' equity: | ' | ||||
| Common stock | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| Capital in excess of par value | 37,807 | 37,230 | 35,472 | 35,573 | 35,620 |
| Accumulated other comprehensive income | 17,654 | 27,500 | 44,025 | 42,732 | 33,982 |
| Retained earnings | 109,448 | 124,272 | 143,748 | 163,620 | 187,703 |
| Treasury stock, at cost | -67 | -1,363 | -1,363 | (1,763) | (1,763) |
| Berkshire Hathaway shareholders' equity | 164,850 | 187,647 | 221,890 | 240,170 | 255,550 |
| Noncontrolling interests | 4,111 | 3,941 | 2,595 | 2,857 | 3,077 |
| Total shareholders' equity | 168,961 | 191,588 | 224,485 | 243,027 | 258,627 |
| Total liabilities and shareholders' equity | 392,647 | 427,452 | 484,931 | 525,867 | 552,257 |
| Insurance and Other [Member] | ' | ||||
| ASSETS | ' | ||||
| Cash and cash equivalents | 33,513 | 42,358 | 42,433 | 57,974 | 61,181 |
| Investments in fixed maturity securities | 31,222 | 36,708 | 28,785 | 27,397 | 25,988 |
| Investments in equity securities | 76,063 | 87,081 | 115,464 | 115,529 | 110,212 |
| Other investments | 13,111 | 10,184 | 12,334 | 16,346 | 15,998 |
| Investments in The Kraft Heinz Company | ' | 12,111 | 11,660 | 23,424 | |
| Receivables | 19,012 | 21,753 | 20,280 | 21,852 | 23,303 |
| Inventories | 8,975 | 9,675 | 9,860 | 10,236 | 11,916 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 18,177 | 19,188 | 13,623 | 14,153 | 15,540 |
| Goodwill | 32,125 | 33,274 | 33,067 | 34,959 | 37,188 |
| Other intangible assets | 9,203 | 9,148 | |||
| Deferred charges reinsurance assumed | 7,772 | 7,687 | |||
| Other | 18,121 | 17,875 | 19,113 | 6,748 | 6,697 |
| Total assets | 250,319 | 278,096 | 307,070 | 333,829 | 348,282 |
| LIABILITIES | ' | ||||
| Losses and loss adjustment expenses | 63,819 | 64,160 | 64,866 | 71,477 | 73,144 |
| Unearned premiums | 8,910 | 10,237 | 10,770 | 11,944 | 13,311 |
| Life, annuity and health insurance benefits | 9,924 | 10,943 | 11,681 | 13,261 | 14,497 |
| Other policyholder liabilities | 6,835 | 7,123 | |||
| Accounts payable, accruals and other liabilities | 18,466 | 21,149 | 21,979 | 16,472 | 17,879 |
| Notes payable and other borrowings | 13,768 | 13,535 | 12,440 | 11,854 | 14,599 |
| Total liabilities | 114,887 | 120,024 | 121,736 | 131,843 | 140,553 |
| Railroad, Utilities and Energy [Member] | ' | ||||
| ASSETS | |||||
| Cash and cash equivalents | 2,246 | 2,570 | 3,400 | 3,001 | 3,437 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 82,214 | 87,684 | 102,482 | 115,054 | 120,279 |
| Goodwill | 20,056 | 20,213 | 22,603 | 24,418 | 24,178 |
| Regulatory assets | 4,253 | 4,285 | |||
| Other | 12,861 | 13,441 | 16,149 | 11,817 | 12,833 |
| Total assets | 117,377 | 123,908 | 144,634 | 158,543 | 165,012 |
| LIABILITIES | ' | ||||
| Accounts payable, accruals and other liabilities | 12,763 | 11,994 | |||
| Regulatory liabilities | 13,016 | 13,113 | 14,557 | 2,832 | 3,033 |
| Notes payable and other borrowings | 32,580 | 36,156 | 46,655 | 55,306 | 57,739 |
| Total liabilities | 45,596 | 49,269 | 61,212 | 70,901 | 72,766 |
| Finance and Financial Products [Member] | ' | ||||
| ASSETS | ' | ||||
| Cash and cash equivalents | 1,540 | 2,064 | 2,353 | 2,294 | 7,112 |
| Investments in fixed maturity securities | 966 | 842 | 239 | 39 | |
| Investments in equity and fixed maturity securities | 3,810 | 1,432 | 1,506 | 1,299 | 411 |
| Investments in equity securities | 590 | 938 | 1,060 | 372 | |
| Other investments | 4,882 | 5,617 | 5,978 | 5,719 | |
| Loans and finance receivables | 13,934 | 12,809 | 12,826 | 12,566 | 12,772 |
| Property, plant and equipment and assets held for lease | 7,700 | 8,037 | 9,347 | ||
| Goodwill | 1,032 | 1,036 | 1,341 | 1,337 | 1,342 |
| Other | 3,669 | 3,225 | 1,884 | 1,984 | 2,260 |
| Total assets | 24,951 | 25,448 | 33,227 | 33,495 | 38,963 |
| LIABILITIES | ' | ||||
| Accounts payable, accruals and other liabilities | 1,224 | 1,099 | 1,299 | 1,321 | 1,398 |
| Derivative contract liabilities | 10,139 | 7,933 | 5,331 | 4,810 | 3,836 |
| Notes payable and other borrowings | 14,036 | 13,045 | 13,129 | 12,730 | 11,951 |
| Total liabilities | $25,399 | $22,077 | $19,759 | $ 18,861 | $ 17,185 |
| Berkshire Hathway | |||||
| Statements of Cash Flows - USD ($) $ in Millions | 12 Months Ended | ||||
| Dec. 31, 2011 | Dec. 31, 2012 | Dec. 31, 2013 | Dec. 31, 2014 | Dec. 31, 2015 | |
| Cash flows from operating activities: | ' | ' | |||
| Net earnings | $10,746 | $15,312 | $ 19,845 | $ 20,170 | $ 24,414 |
| Adjustments to reconcile net earnings to operating cash flows: | ' | ' | |||
| Investment gains/losses | -1,274 | -1,462 | (4,065) | (3,575) | (9,373) |
| Depreciation and amortization | 5,492 | 6,154 | 6,508 | 7,370 | 7,779 |
| Other | 2 | -213 | 373 | (341) | 751 |
| Changes in operating assets and liabilities: | ' | ' | |||
| Losses and loss adjustment expenses | 3,063 | -421 | 578 | 7,404 | 2,262 |
| Deferred charges reinsurance assumed | -329 | 121 | (340) | (3,413) | 84 |
| Unearned premiums | 852 | 1,134 | 519 | 1,159 | 1,392 |
| Receivables and originated loans | -1,159 | -1,610 | 1,035 | (1,890) | (1,650) |
| Derivative contract assets and liabilities | 1,881 | -2,183 | (2,430) | (520) | (974) |
| Income taxes | 1,493 | 1,710 | 3,514 | 4,905 | 5,718 |
| Other | -291 | 2,408 | 2,167 | 741 | 1,088 |
| Net cash flows from operating activities | 20,476 | 20,950 | 27,704 | 32,010 | 31,491 |
| Cash flows from investing activities: | ' | ' | |||
| Purchases of fixed maturity securities | -7,362 | -8,250 | (7,546) | (7,774) | (8,186) |
| Purchases of equity securities | -15,660 | -7,376 | (8,558) | (7,014) | (10,220) |
| Investments in The Kraft Heinz Company and other investments | -5,000 | ' | (12,250) | (3,000) | (5,258) |
| Sales of fixed maturity securities | 3,353 | 2,982 | 4,311 | 1,697 | 2,172 |
| Redemptions and maturities of fixed maturity securities | 6,872 | 6,064 | 11,203 | 6,795 | 6,583 |
| Sales and redemptions of equity securities | 14,163 | 8,088 | 3,869 | 8,896 | 8,747 |
| Purchases of loans and finance receivables | -1,657 | -650 | (490) | (181) | (179) |
| Collections of loans and finance receivables | 2,915 | 1,714 | 654 | 885 | 492 |
| Acquisitions of businesses, net of cash acquired | -8,685 | -3,188 | (6,431) | (4,824) | (4,902) |
| Purchases of property, plant and equipment | -8,191 | -9,775 | (11,087) | (15,185) | (16,082) |
| Other | 63 | -183 | (1,210) | 336 | 165 |
| Net cash flows from investing activities | -19,189 | -10,574 | (27,535) | (19,369) | (26,668) |
| Cash flows from financing activities: | ' | ' | |||
| Changes in short term borrowings, net | 301 | -309 | (1,317) | 932 | (378) |
| Acquisitions of noncontrolling interests | -1,878 | -2,096 | (2,890) | (1,287) | (72) |
| Other financing activities | 18 | 48 | (134) | 22 | (161) |
| Net cash flows from financing activities | -2,217 | -806 | 961 | 2,731 | 3,803 |
| Effects of foreign currency exchange rate changes | 2 | 123 | 64 | (289) | (165) |
| Increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents | -928 | 9,693 | 1,194 | 15,083 | 8,461 |
| Cash and cash equivalents: | ' | ' | |||
| Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year | 38,227 | 37,299 | 46,992 | 48,186 | 63,269 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at end of year | 37,299 | 46,992 | 48,186 | 63,269 | 71,730 |
| Insurance and Other [Member] | ' | ' | |||
| Adjustments to reconcile net earnings to operating cash flows: | ' | ' | |||
| Investment gains/losses | -1,065 | -990 | (3,881) | (3,503) | (9,363) |
| Cash flows from financing activities: | ' | ' | |||
| Proceeds from borrowings | 2,091 | 1,820 | 2,622 | 845 | 3,358 |
| Repayments of borrowings | -2,307 | -2,078 | (2,750) | (1,289) | (1,916) |
| Cash and cash equivalents: | ' | ' | |||
| Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year | ' | 33,513 | 42,358 | 42,433 | 57,974 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at end of year | 33,513 | 42,358 | 42,614 | 57,974 | 61,181 |
| Railroad, Utilities and Energy [Member] | ' | ' | |||
| Cash flows from financing activities: | ' | ' | |||
| Proceeds from borrowings | 2,290 | 4,707 | 7,491 | 5,765 | 5,479 |
| Repayments of borrowings | -2,335 | -2,119 | (1,596) | (1,862) | (1,725) |
| Cash and cash equivalents: | ' | ' | |||
| Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year | ' | 2,246 | 2,570 | 3,400 | 3,001 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at end of year | 2,246 | 2,570 | 3,400 | 3,001 | 3,437 |
| Finance and Financial Products [Member] | ' | ' | |||
| Adjustments to reconcile net earnings to operating cash flows: | ' | ' | |||
| Investment gains/losses | -209 | -472 | (184) | (72) | (10) |
| Cash flows from financing activities: | ' | ' | |||
| Proceeds from borrowings | 1,562 | 2,352 | 3,462 | 1,148 | 1,045 |
| Repayments of borrowings | -1,959 | -3,131 | (3,927) | (1,543) | (1,827) |
| Cash and cash equivalents: | ' | ' | |||
| Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year | ' | 1,540 | 2,064 | 2,353 | 2,294 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at end of year | $1,540 | $2,064 | $ 2,353 | $ 2,294 | $ 7,112 |
| PCC FORECASTED FINANCIALS USING HISTORICAL FORECASTS | |||||||||||
| In millions | |||||||||||
| Period | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
| Revenue | 10,005 | 10,605 | 11,242 | 11,916 | 12,631 | 13,389 | 14,192 | 15,044 | 15,946 | 16,903 | 17,917 |
| YoY growth | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | |
| Cost structure | |||||||||||
| COGS,net D&A | 6,825 | 6,943 | 7,359 | 7,801 | 8,269 | 8,765 | 9,291 | 9,848 | 10,439 | 11,065 | 11,729 |
| % of revenue | 0.65 | 0.65 | 0.65 | 0.65 | 0.65 | 0.65 | 0.65 | 0.65 | 0.65 | 0.65 | |
| SG&A | 641 | 717 | 760 | 805 | 854 | 905 | 959 | 1,017 | 1,078 | 1,142 | 1,211 |
| % of revenue | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | |
| EBITDA | 2,539 | 2,946 | 3,123 | 3,310 | 3,509 | 3,719 | 3,942 | 4,179 | 4,430 | 4,695 | 4,977 |
| Income tax rate = 32% | |||||||||||
| Current Assets | 6,458 | 6,183 | 6,554 | 6,947 | 7,364 | 7,806 | 8,274 | 8,771 | 9,297 | 9,855 | 10788 |
| Current Liabilities | 4,756 | 4,356 | 4,766 | 5,052 | 5,356 | 5,677 | 6,018 | 6,379 | 6,761 | 7,167 | 7658 |
| Capital Expenditures | 702 | 392.40 | 415.94 | 440.90 | 467.35 | 495.39 | 425.77 | 451.31 | 478.39 | 507.10 | 537.52 |
| Depreciation | 325 | 311 | 329 | 349 | 370 | 392 | 416 | 441 | 467 | 495 | 525 |
| Share Count (Diluted) | 143.5 |
| Table 6: Comparable Information | ||||||||
| Source: PCC financial filings | ||||||||
| Panel A | ||||||||
| Comparable Company Information | ||||||||
| Enterprise Value / | ||||||||
| CY2015E | CY2016E | |||||||
| EBITDA | EBITDA | |||||||
| Diversified Industrial Companies | ||||||||
| United Technologies Corporation | 9.0x | 8.9x | ||||||
| Honeywell International Inc. | 10.6x | 10.0x | ||||||
| Eaton Corporation | 10.6x | 9.7x | ||||||
| Parker-Hannifin Corporation | 9.4x | 9.1x | ||||||
| Aerospace& Defense Companies | ||||||||
| Rolls Royce Holdings plc | 7.1x | 7.8x | ||||||
| Rockwell Collins Inc. | 10.4x | 9.9x | ||||||
| GKN plc | 6.5x | 5.8x | ||||||
| Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. | 7.5x | 7.3x | ||||||
| Meggitt PLC | 10.4x | 9.7x | ||||||
| B/E Aerospace Inc. | 12.1x | 11.5x | ||||||
| Woodward, Inc. | 10.9x | 9.8x | ||||||
| Triumph Group, Inc. | 7.2x | 6.4x |
| Table 6b. Comparable Transactions | ||||||||
| Date | Acquirer | Target | Enterprise | |||||
| Announced | Value / | |||||||
| LTM | ||||||||
| EBITDA | ||||||||
| Jul-15 | Solvay SA | Cytec Industries Inc. | 15.2x | |||||
| Mar-15 | Alcoa Inc. | RTI International Metals, Inc. | 13.1x | |||||
| Jun-14 | Alcoa Inc. | Firth Rixson Limited | 14.3x | |||||
| May-14 | Warburg Pincus LLC | Wencor Group, LLC | 13.5x | |||||
| May-14 | Cobham plc | Aeroflex Holding Corp. | 11.4x | |||||
| Aug-13 | Rockwell Collins, Inc. | ARINC Incorporated | 11.1x | |||||
| Dec-12 | General Electric Company | Avio S.p.A. | 8.5x | |||||
| Nov-12 | Precision Castparts Corp. | Titanium Metals Corporation | 13.8x | |||||
| Jul-12 | GKN plc | Volvo Aero | 6.3x | |||||
| Sep-11 | United Technologies Corporation | Goodrich Corporation | 12.7x | |||||
| Nov-10 | Allegheny Technologies Incorporated | Ladish Co., Inc. | 13.2x | |||||
| Sep-10 | TransDigm Group Incorporated | McKechnie Aerospace Holdings Inc. | 12.9x | |||||
| Jan-07 | General Electric Company | Smiths Aerospace | 12.4x |
| Table 7 Competitor Information | ||||||
| Source: Bloomberg | ||||||
| Beta | 2015 Revenues | EBIT | EBITDA | Net Income | Tax Rate | |
| United Technologies Corporation (UTX-US) | 1.11 | 56,098.00 | 7,750.00 | 9,613.00 | 7,608.00 | 33% |
| Honeywell International (HON-US) | 1.06 | 38,581.00 | 6,806.00 | 7,699.00 | 4,768.00 | 26% |
| Eaton (ETN-US) | 1.54 | 20,855.00 | 2,342.00 | 3,267.00 | 1,979.00 | 32% |
| Parker-Hannifin (PH-US) | 1.49 | 11,360.80 | 1,275.30 | 1,582.10 | 806.8 | 29% |
| Rolls Royce Holdings (RR.-LN) | 1.17 | 20,929.50 | 2,320.90 | 3,556.10 | 126.6 | 25% |
| Rockwell Collins (COL-US) | 0.73 | 5,244.00 | 1,008.00 | 1,260.00 | 686 | 28% |
| GKN (GKN-LN) | 1.32 | 7,231.00 | 560 | 901 | 197 | 24% |
| Spirit AeroSystems Holdings (SPR-US) | 1.12 | 6,643.90 | 863 | 1,044.10 | 788 | 3% |
| Meggitt (MGGT-LN) | 0.79 | 1,647.20 | 247.2 | 401.7 | 182.1 | 20% |
| B/E Aerospace (BEAV-US) | 1.09 | 2,729.60 | 452.3 | 537.6 | 285.7 | 22% |
| Woodward (WWD-US) | 1.23 | 2,038.30 | 263.9 | 339.1 | 181.5 | 25% |
| Triumph Group (TGI-US) | 1.45 | 3,886.10 | -176.3 | 1.5 | -1,048.00 | 32% |
| Total | Long-term | Shareholders' | Stock Price | Number of | ||
| Debt | Debt | Equity | 12/31/2015 | Shares | ||
| United Technologies Corporation | 20,425.00 | 19,320.00 | 27,358.00 | 96.07 | 836,432,010 | |
| Honeywell International (HON-US) | 12,068.00 | 5,554.00 | 18,283.00 | 103.57 | 769,322,910 | |
| Eaton (ETN-US) | 8,449.00 | 7,781.00 | 15,186.00 | 52.04 | 458,900,000 | |
| Parker-Hannifin (PH-US) | 3,036.80 | 2,675.00 | 4,575.30 | 96.98 | 135,102,576 | |
| Rolls Royce Holdings (RR.-LN) | 4,870.20 | 4,252.20 | 7,395.30 | 575.00 | 183,867,700 | |
| Rockwell Collins (COL-US) | 2,128.00 | 1,680.00 | 1,875.00 | 92.30 | 131,131,426 | |
| GKN (GKN-LN) | 1,034.00 | 867 | 1,863.00 | 308.40 | 167,410,000 | |
| Spirit AeroSystems Holdings | 1,133.20 | 1,097.60 | 2,119.50 | 50.07 | 135,521,540 | |
| Meggitt (MGGT-LN) | 1,198.50 | 1,194.40 | 2,178.50 | 374.70 | 775,167,523 | |
| B/E Aerospace (BEAV-US) | 2,034.10 | 2,034.10 | 55.5 | 42.37 | 102,110,278 | |
| Woodward (WWD-US) | 959.4 | 850 | 1,153.10 | 49.66 | 61,915,755 | |
| Triumph Group (TGI-US) | 1,417.30 | 1,374.90 | 934.9 | 39.75 | 49,328,999 |
| Table 8: Market Information | |||||
| Source: Duff and Phelps 2016 Valuation Handbook | |||||
| Long term (20 year) US Treasury Bond Yield: 2.68% | 2.68% | ||||
| Equity risk premium: 6.9% | 6.90% | ||||
| Long-term growth rate: 1.5% (Source: http://www.econ.yale.edu/~shiller/data.htm) | 1.50% |
| Table 9: PCC Stock Prices | |||||||
| 05-Jan-2014 | 267.79 | 04-Jan-2015 | 238.44 | 03-Jan-2016 | 232.01 | ||
| 12-Jan-2014 | 271.22 | 11-Jan-2015 | 229.55 | 10-Jan-2016 | 232.07 | ||
| 19-Jan-2014 | 270.62 | 18-Jan-2015 | 199.63 | 17-Jan-2016 | 232.11 | ||
| 26-Jan-2014 | 255.46 | 25-Jan-2015 | 207.85 | 24-Jan-2016 | 231.48 | ||
| 02-Feb-2014 | 254.75 | 01-Feb-2015 | 200.1 | 31-Jan-2016 | 234.95 | ||
| 09-Feb-2014 | 260.2 | 08-Feb-2015 | 203.81 | ||||
| 16-Feb-2014 | 260.44 | 15-Feb-2015 | 205.54 | ||||
| 23-Feb-2014 | 256.4 | 22-Feb-2015 | 219.61 | ||||
| 02-Mar-2014 | 257.88 | 01-Mar-2015 | 216.3 | ||||
| 09-Mar-2014 | 262.96 | 08-Mar-2015 | 212.71 | ||||
| 16-Mar-2014 | 252.07 | 15-Mar-2015 | 204.59 | ||||
| 23-Mar-2014 | 252.8 | 22-Mar-2015 | 210.16 | ||||
| 30-Mar-2014 | 247.58 | 29-Mar-2015 | 212.18 | ||||
| 06-Apr-2014 | 253.84 | 05-Apr-2015 | 210.8 | ||||
| 13-Apr-2014 | 244.41 | 12-Apr-2015 | 213 | ||||
| 20-Apr-2014 | 257.18 | 19-Apr-2015 | 201.15 | ||||
| 27-Apr-2014 | 251.7 | 26-Apr-2015 | 200.51 | ||||
| 04-May-2014 | 254.33 | 03-May-2015 | 208.78 | ||||
| 11-May-2014 | 255.28 | 10-May-2015 | 206.36 | ||||
| 18-May-2014 | 240.21 | 17-May-2015 | 215.49 | ||||
| 25-May-2014 | 249.02 | 24-May-2015 | 219.68 | ||||
| 01-Jun-2014 | 252.98 | 31-May-2015 | 211.63 | ||||
| 08-Jun-2014 | 272.75 | 07-Jun-2015 | 211.02 | ||||
| 15-Jun-2014 | 265.64 | 14-Jun-2015 | 207.9 | ||||
| 22-Jun-2014 | 265.61 | 21-Jun-2015 | 210.74 | ||||
| 29-Jun-2014 | 254.36 | 28-Jun-2015 | 203.2 | ||||
| 06-Jul-2014 | 254.89 | 05-Jul-2015 | 199.05 | ||||
| 13-Jul-2014 | 255.8 | 12-Jul-2015 | 190.87 | ||||
| 20-Jul-2014 | 257.39 | 19-Jul-2015 | 193.45 | ||||
| 27-Jul-2014 | 232.86 | 26-Jul-2015 | 188.68 | ||||
| 03-Aug-2014 | 229.25 | 02-Aug-2015 | 194.92 | ||||
| 10-Aug-2014 | 233.83 | 09-Aug-2015 | 193.88 | ||||
| 17-Aug-2014 | 239.67 | 16-Aug-2015 | 230.5 | ||||
| 24-Aug-2014 | 242.98 | 23-Aug-2015 | 230.8 | ||||
| 31-Aug-2014 | 244.06 | 30-Aug-2015 | 229.98 | ||||
| 07-Sep-2014 | 241.18 | 06-Sep-2015 | 229.59 | ||||
| 14-Sep-2014 | 239.96 | 13-Sep-2015 | 229.8 | ||||
| 21-Sep-2014 | 245.68 | 20-Sep-2015 | 228.75 | ||||
| 28-Sep-2014 | 239.5 | 27-Sep-2015 | 229.03 | ||||
| 05-Oct-2014 | 231.62 | 04-Oct-2015 | 230.29 | ||||
| 12-Oct-2014 | 223.62 | 11-Oct-2015 | 230.31 | ||||
| 19-Oct-2014 | 226.32 | 18-Oct-2015 | 231.38 | ||||
| 26-Oct-2014 | 223.47 | 25-Oct-2015 | 230.5 | ||||
| 02-Nov-2014 | 220.7 | 01-Nov-2015 | 230.81 | ||||
| 09-Nov-2014 | 226.25 | 08-Nov-2015 | 230.65 | ||||
| 16-Nov-2014 | 226.21 | 15-Nov-2015 | 230.02 | ||||
| 23-Nov-2014 | 236.99 | 22-Nov-2015 | 231 | ||||
| 30-Nov-2014 | 237.9 | 29-Nov-2015 | 231.62 | ||||
| 07-Dec-2014 | 242.7 | 06-Dec-2015 | 232.11 | ||||
| 14-Dec-2014 | 230.2 | 13-Dec-2015 | 231.87 | ||||
| 21-Dec-2014 | 237 | 20-Dec-2015 | 230.76 | ||||
| 28-Dec-2014 | 241.26 | 27-Dec-2015 | 231.19 |
| 2014 Ratio Analysis | |||||
| Precision Castparts Ratios | |||||
| Profitability | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 |
| Gross margin | 33.10% | 33.80% | 34.80% | 37.50% | 35.80% |
| Pre-tax operating profit margin | 24.04% | 25.14% | 25.49% | 27.15% | 25.38% |
| EBITDA margin | 26.70% | 27.50% | 28.10% | 30.20% | 28.60% |
| Net profit margin | 16.30% | 17.00% | 17.10% | 18.60% | 15.32% |
| ROA | 12.20% | 12.50% | 10.40% | 10.00% | 8.25% |
| ROE | 14.10% | 14.60% | 14.60% | 15.60% | 13.99% |
| ROCE | 14.10% | 14.60% | 14.60% | 15.60% | 14.00% |
| DuPont Ratio = PM*ATO*EM=ROE = NI/S*S/A*A/E | |||||
| Liquidity | |||||
| Current Ratio | 3.88 | 3.54 | 2.97 | 3.42 | 2.11 |
| Quick Ratio | 2.27 | 1.76 | 1.05 | 1.20 | 0.77 |
| Financial leverage | |||||
| Capital Structure Leverage | 1.25 | 1.26 | 1.72 | 1.63 | 1.77 |
| Total debt to Equity | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.39 | 0.31 | 0.42 |
| Long-term debt ratio | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.27 | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| Liabilities to Equity | 0.25 | 0.26 | 0.72 | 0.63 | 0.77 |
| Total debt to total capital | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.28 | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| Working capital to total capital | 0.3 | 0.26 | 0.2 | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| Coverage | |||||
| Operating cash flow to total liabilities | 0.58 | 0.47 | 0.21 | 0.26 | 0.2 |
| Operating cash flow to total debt | 4.39 | 4.99 | 0.38 | 0.53 | 0.37 |
| Operating cash flow to capital expenditures | -8.62 | -5.41 | -4.56 | -5.36 | -3.74 |
| Interest coverage | 110.56 | 141.46 | 56.00 | 34.05 | 36.80 |
| Operating Leverage | |||||
| Operating Leverage | 1.33 | 1.1 | 1.52 | -0.38 | |
| Efficiency/Activity | |||||
| Asset turnover | 0.69 | 0.68 | 0.49 | 0.51 | 0.51 |
| Receivables turnover | 6.34 | 6.07 | 5.53 | 6.08 | 5.85 |
| Inventory turnover | 2.85 | 2.63 | 1.82 | 1.74 | 1.77 |
| Days sales outstanding | 57.54 | 60.13 | 66.00 | 60.04 | 62.38 |
| Days inventory on hand | 128.22 | 138.91 | 200.07 | 209.78 | 206.72 |
QUESTION:
Excel Calculations Required:
- Find an appropriate weighted average cost of capital (WACC) to use to discount Precision Castparts (PCC) free cash flows. Use comparable company information given in the case to calculate WACC.
- Perform a comparable multiples valuation analysis of PCC.
- Perform a comparableprecedent transactions valuation analysis of PCC.
- Find the value of PCC using discounted cash flow discounted by WACC. Do only the DCF from the PCC Historical Forecast.
- Perform a sensitivity analysis for your assigned set of cash flows; change two or more variables that impact the price you compute; be certain to change each variable individually, not simultaneously.
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