Question: Questions 7 through 10 refer to the data sheet named housing_price representing monthly average housing price (in $1,000s) in the DFW metropolitan area during 2000-2003.

Questions 7 through 10 refer to the data sheet named housing_price representing monthly average housing price (in $1,000s) in the DFW metropolitan area during 2000-2003.

Time Housing
Year Month Period Price ($1000)
1 1 1 201.12
2 2 213
3 3 213.6
4 4 211.32
5 5 215.64
6 6 222.96
7 7 219.24
8 8 218.76
9 9 213.24
10 10 201.45
11 11 207.24
12 12 214.56
2 1 13 210.84
2 14 213.84
3 15 218.4
4 16 219.72
5 17 229.8
6 18 221.88
7 19 225.72
8 20 222
9 21 210.96
10 22 214.92
11 23 214.92
12 24 224.76
3 1 25 212.76
2 26 220.2
3 27 219.36
4 28 221.4
5 29 227.88
6 30 227.88
7 31 233.28
8 32 229.32
9 33 231.12
10 34 224.76
11 35 228.96
12 36 232.2

7. Use the additive seasonal technique for stationary data to model the data. Use Solver to determine the optimal values of and .

a. What are the optimal values of and ?

b. Prepare a line graph comparing the predictions from this method against the original data.

c. What are the forecasts for each of the next 6 months using this technique?

8. Use the multiplicative seasonal technique for stationary data to model the data. Use Solver to determine the optimal values of and .

a. What are the optimal values of and ?

b. Prepare a line graph comparing the predictions from this method against the original data.

c. What are the forecasts for each of the next 6 months using this technique?

9. Use Holt-Winters additive method to create a seasonal model that minimizes the MSE for the data set. Use Solver to determine the optimal values of , , and .

a. What are the optimal values of , , and ?

b. Prepare a line graph comparing the predictions from this method against the original data.

c. What are the forecasts for each of the next 6 months using this technique?

10. Use Holt-Winters multiplicative method to create a seasonal model that minimizes the MSE for the data set. Use Solver to determine the optimal values of , , and .

a. What are the optimal values of , , and ?

b. Prepare a line graph comparing the predictions from this method against the original data.

c. What are the forecasts for each of the next 6 months using this technique?

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