Question: Sales/volume forecasting for the Metabical Pricing and Packaging, and Demand Forecasting for a New Weight-Loss Drug, using the below outline. Method 1: Year 1 Year
Sales/volume forecasting for the Metabical Pricing and Packaging, and Demand Forecasting for a New Weight-Loss Drug, using the below outline.
| Method 1: | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
| approx 34% of us population (230M) has a BMI of 25 to 30 | ||||||
| Number of Americans with BMI between 25 and 30 | 78200000 | 78200000 | 78200000 | 78200000 | 78200000 | |
| x 35% actively trying to lose weight | 27370000 | 27370000 | 27370000 | 27370000 | 27370000 | |
| x 15% who are comfortable using diet pills | 4105500 | 4105500 | 4105500 | 4105500 | 4105500 | |
| 10% who might purchase Metabical in Year 1 adding 5% each subsequent year | unit sales | |||||
| plus 60% buy a second package | unit sales | |||||
| plus 20% of these buy a third package | unit sales | |||||
| Sales | unit sales | |||||
| Method 2: | ||||||
| Number of Americans with BMI between 25 and 30 | ||||||
| x 12% say they will go to a doctor to request prescription | ||||||
| 10% who might purchase Metabical in Year 1 adding 5% each subsequent year | unit sales | |||||
| plus 60% buy a second package | unit sales | |||||
| plus 20% of these buy a third package | unit sales | |||||
| Sales | unit sales | |||||
| Method 3: | ||||||
| Ideal target (overweight females, 35-65, college-educated) | ||||||
| 30% who might purchase Metabical in Year 1 adding 5% each subsequent year | unit sales | |||||
| plus 60% buy a second package | unit sales | |||||
| plus 20% of these buy a third package | unit sales | |||||
| Sales | unit sales |
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