Shrieves Casting Company is considering adding a new line to its product mix, and the capital budgeting analysis is being conducted by Sidney Johnson, a recent business school graduate. The production line would be set up in unused space in Shrieves's main plant. The machinery's invoice price would be approximately $200,000, another $10,000 in shipping charges would be required, and it would cost an additional $30,000 to install the equipment. The machinery has an economic life of 4 years and would be in Class 8 with a CCA rate of 20%. The machinery is expected to have a salvage value of $25,000 after 4 years of use. , The new line would generate incremental sales of 1,250 units per year for 4 years at an incremental cost of $100 per unit in the first year, excluding depreciation. Each unit can be sold for $200 in the first year. The sales price and cost are both expected to increase by 3% per year due to inflation. Furthermore, to handle the new line, the firm's net operating working capital would have to increase by an amount equal to 12% of sales revenues. The firm's tax rate is 28%, and its overall weighted average cost of capital is 10%.

I. Are there problems with scenario analysis? Define simulation analysis, and discuss its principal advantages and disadvantages. m. (1) Assume that Shrieves's average project has a coefficient of variation in the range of 0.7 to 0.9. Would the new line be classified as high risk, average risk, or low risk? What type of risk is being measured here? (2) Shrieves typically adds or subtracts 3 percentage points to the overall cost of capital to adjust for risk. Should the new line be accepted? (3) Are there any subjective risk factors that should be considered before the final decision is made? n. What is a real option? What are some types of real options?