Question: Singh Development Co. is deciding whether to proceed with Project X. The cost would be $12 million in Year 0. There is a 50% chance

Singh Development Co. is deciding whether to proceed with Project X. The cost would be $12 million in Year 0. There is a 50% chance that X would be hugely successful and would generate annual after-tax cash flows of $7 million per year during Years 1, 2, and 3. However, there is a 50% chance that X would be less successful and would generate only $1 million per year for the 3 years. If Project X is hugely successful, it would open the door to another investment, Project Y, which would require an outlay of $13 million at the end of Year 2. Project Y would then be sold to another company at a price of $26 million at the end of Year 3. Singhs WACC is 9%.

  1. If the company does not consider real options, what is Project Xs expected NPV? Enter your answers in millions. For example, an answer of $10,550,000 should be entered as 10.55. Negative value, if any, should be indicated by a minus sign. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to three decimal places. $ million
  2. What is Xs expected NPV with the growth option? Enter your answers in millions. For example, an answer of $10,550,000 should be entered as 10.55. Negative value, if any, should be indicated by a minus sign. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to three decimal places. $ million
  3. What is the value of the growth option? Enter your answers in millions. For example, an answer of $10,550,000 should be entered as 10.55. Negative value, if any, should be indicated by a minus sign. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to three decimal places. $ million

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