Question: Solve the problem using the concept of expected monetary value (EMV). The approved budget (cost) for a project is $250,000. The team has identified the
Solve the problem using the concept of expected monetary value (EMV). The approved budget (cost) for a project is $250,000. The team has identified the following five risks for the project:
1) Risk type: Threat
Risk probability: 50%
Impact(cost): $50,000
2) Risk type: Threat
Risk probability 25%
Impact(cost) $75000
3)Risk type: Opportunity
Probability 75%
Impact (benefit) $40,000
4)Risk type: Threat
Risk Probability 50%
Impact(cost) $100,000
5) Risk type: Threat
Risk Probability 25%
Impact(cost) $150,000
Provide the answer to the following questions, with calculations and reasoning:
1. Which are the top three risks for the project? Why?
2. What is the expected total cost for the project?
3. What is the best-case total cost for this project?
4. What is the worst-case total cost for this project?
5. Based on the combined EMV of all the risks, how much contingency reserve would you suggest for the project?
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