Stage 2. Scenario analysis and simulation using Excel as a support tool. Associated questions: What is the utility in the optimistic scenario? What impact does the lack of gasoline have on my product or service? How much should I sell if I want a 15% profit on sales? Is the peso / dollar exchange rate a determining factor in determining profit? Are there substitutes for the components of the current production cost? For example: in raw material, machinery for labor, technology, etc