Question: Summarize your results from Steps 1-11 in a report. The report should explain and interpret the results in ways that are understandable to someone who
Summarize your results from Steps 1-11 in a report. The report should explain and interpret the results in ways that are understandable to someone who does not know statistics.
Step 1 scatterplot: For the dependent variable I used (Y "Sales") and the selected independent variable I chose (X2 "Time").
Step 2 : Determine the equation of the "best fit" linebetween the independent X (time) and dependent Y (sale ) variables
y = 48.25421757 - 0.219344686 * x
Step 3 Determine the correlation coefficient. Interpret
r^2= - 0.133987857
This correlation coefficient is very close to 0, therefore we can conclude that there is a weak negative relationship between the two variables.
Step 4.Determine the coefficient of determination. Interpret.
coefficient of determination = 0.017952746 or 1.795%
which indicates that 1.795% of the variation in sales can be described or explained by the time and
Step 5Test the utility of this regression model by completing a hypothesis test of b=0 using =0.10. Interpret results, including the p-value.
The T test for the slope is given in the regression output as:-1.3385
The P value for a 2 sample alternative at a of 98 level is 0.1838
since the P value is greater than the significance level of 0.10, we can conclude that we will fail to reject the null hypothesis and that the slope = 0
Step 6Based on the findings in steps 1-5, analyze the ability of the independent variable to predict the dependent variable.
Based off the variables I chose there is not a good enough to predict the dependent variable there is not a very good correlation.
Step 7 Compute the confidence interval for b, using a 95% confidence level. Interpret this interval.
At the 95% confidence interval the slope that was found is given in the regression output as ( -0.544550882 to 0.105861509 )
My interpretation is we can be 95% confident that the actual value of the slope of regression between time and sales is between -0.54455 and 0.10586
Step 8Compute the 99% confidence interval for the dependent variable, for a selected value of the independent variable. Each student can choose a value to use for the independent variable (use same value in the next step). Interpret this interval.
The 99% confidence interval for the sales when the time =14
Error= 0.0619
T value 99% confidence interval with a degree of 98 = 2.6269
Margin of error =0.1626
45.18340.1626= (45.0208,45.346)
Confidence interval =45.0208 we can be 99% confident that the actual number of sales when time is =14 is between 45.0208 and 45.346 Step 9Using the same chosen value for part (8), estimate the 99% prediction interval for the dependent variable. Interpret this interval. Error=0.5748 T value for 99% confidence interval at a 98 degree= 2.6269 Margin of error = 1.5099 45.18341.5099= (43.6735,46.6933) Prediction interval =43.6735<y<46.6933 My interpretation is that we are 99% sure that the next prediction sales for a time of 14 will be within this interval. Step 10 What can be said about the value of the dependent variable for values of the independent variable that are outside the range of the sample values? Explain. This relationship is not very strong. We shouldn't use the time variable to predict the value of the dependent variables for independent variable values which are also outside the sample values. Step 11 Describe a business decision that could be made based on the results of this analysis. In other words, how might the business operations change based on these statistical results. Based off the analysis I can conclude that because time doesn't affect sales that weather we increase or decrease the time it would not have a direct effect on the sales. DATA SalesCalls Time. Years Type 4413915.32GROUP 3811715.33NONE 4314814.54ONLINE 4512013.61GROUP 3714015.73GROUP 4414813.53GROUP 4615116.01GROUP 4918416.72ONLINE 4213514.83NONE 4917714.22GROUP 4817513.71ONLINE 4915222.31ONLINE 4916111.73NONE 3814517.1.2NONE 441698.90ONLINE 4418812.93GROUP 4111715.82GROUP 4215414.82ONLINE 4216717.73ONLINE 4011715.61NONE 4712016.31NONE 3713315.22GROUP 4614516.80ONLINE 5016716.21ONLINE 4813613.73ONLINE 4216718.02NONE 4615314.11ONLINE 4817418.62GROUP 4214810.01NONE 4215315.52GROUP 5718010.82NONE 4315315.23GROUP 4616216.22ONLINE 5618013.52ONLINE 4114014.71GROUP 4715714.31GROUP 3712018.22GROUP 3714816.21GROUP 3915613.34NONE 4817713.93ONLINE 5317813.22ONLINE 4916013.63GROUP 4515518.92GROUP 4617212.51ONLINE 5217714.51ONLINE 4314518.62NONE 4916616.20ONLINE 3714514.03NONE 4815615.14ONLINE 3715219.80GROUP 4216010.63NONE 3711714.80GROUP 4914921.12GROUP 4416913.61ONLINE 5016712.65ONLINE 5019011.31ONLINE 5819711.81ONLINE 4115013.63GROUP 4313116.84GROUP 4718312.82ONLINE 4314815.91ONLINE 5017711.44NONE 5019714.02ONLINE 4717614.12ONLINE 5018410.82ONLINE 4015010.81GROUP 4418215.54NONE 4513819.34GROUP 4816519.85ONLINE 4516416.73NONE 4316613.33ONLINE 4514612.03GROUP 4317319.82ONLINE 4115710.03ONLINE 4515813.91ONLINE 5318210.51ONLINE 5318415.25ONLINE 4115819.32ONLINE 4517317.62ONLINE 4918820.41NONE 3914918.81GROUP 4616212.11GROUP 4014417.40NONE 3913815.51NONE 4513813.61GROUP 4518513.31ONLINE 4415018.41NONE 3413314.41GROUP 4614917.83NONE 4614813.11GROUP 4316913.34NONE 4817113.02GROUP 5117318.60ONLINE 5818912.01ONLINE 3714217.12NONE 4417113.63GROUP 4715515.30ONLINE 5418011.84GROUP 3713716.32GROUP 4415918.12ONLINE
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