$\backslash$table$[[$Period$,$Actual Value$],[$Quarter $1,294],[$Quarter $2,499],[$Quarter $3,437],[$Quarter $4,344],[$Quarter $5,335],[$Quarter $6,507],[$Quarter $7,529],[$Quarter $8,285],[$Quarter $9,433],[$Quarter $10,516],[$Quarter $11,501],[$Quarter $12,482],[$Quarter $13,280],[$Quarter $14,524],[$Quarter $15,515],[$Quarter $16,530]]$

Generate a forecast using Exponential smoothing, using alpha $=\mathrm{.}7.$

Assume forecast for Quarter $)$ was $294($i$.$e$.,F=294).$

a$.$ What is the forecast for Quarter $)=(17?$

b$.$ Find the MAD based on periods $5$ through $,16).$

What is the MAD?

c$.$ Use nonlinear programming to find the alpha that minimizes MAD.

i$.$ What is the alpha

ii$.$ What is the MAD?

iii. What is the forecast for Quarter $)=(17$ using this alpha