Question: The current 1 0 - year US treasury yield is 4 . 6 8 % ( 4 / 1 6 / 2 0 2 4

The current 10-year US treasury yield is 4.68%(4/16/2024). A speculator (A) believes the Fed would not raise rate and the 10-year yield should be at 4.5% within 6 months. Another speculator (B) believes the 10-year yield should be at 4.9% within 6 months.

Part a, A is plan to buy an at the money (strike price equals to current market price) put option, the price is $0.8 for the TNX option. How much is the total gain/lost if the 10- year yield is 4.4%,4.5%,4.6%, and 4.7%?



Part b, B is plan to sell a TNX put spread with an at the money and an in the money put option (strike price at 4.9%, which is currently traded at $2.8. How much is the total gain/lost for this put spread if the 10-year yield is 4.6%,4.8%,4.9%, and 5.0%?

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