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The government of Equatoria is considering a dam project. The government has estimated the costs and benefits of the project as follows: Project 1 Project

The government of Equatoria is considering a dam project. The government has estimated the costs and benefits of the project as follows:

Project 1 Project 2 Project 3
Initial construction cost $15,000,000 $30,000,000 $15,000,000
Year 1 cash inflow $12,000,000 $12,000,000 $9,100,000
Year 2 cash inflow $6,000,000 $10,000,000 $9,100,000
Year 3 cash inflow $5,000,000 $24,000,000 $9,100,000

  1. Suppose the discount rate is 15%, what are the costs and benefits associated with each project? Which project will yield the most benefit?
  2. Lets assume that the country of Equatoria is prone to earthquakes. A major earthquake is expected to lead to dam failure causing material damage and loss in human lives, but the probability is only 0.01% per year. What will be your policy recommendation in this situation?

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