Question: There are three dates, t = 0, 1, 2. An entrepreneur has the following project. At t = 0, an investment of $90 million is
There are three dates, t = 0, 1, 2. An entrepreneur has the following project. At t = 0, an investment of $90 million is needed. At t = 1, the entrepreneur decides whether to exert effort or not. If she does not exert effort, the entrepreneur enjoys a private benefit of X in millions of $. There is no private benefit for the entrepreneur if she exerts effort. At t = 2 the project yields a cash flow of $130 million with probability p and $60 million with probability (1 p). The probability p of success of the project depends on whether the entrepreneur has exerted effort. If the entrepreneur exerts effort then p = 0.8, but if the entrepreneur does not exert effort then p = 0.4. All agents are risk-neutral and the risk-free rate is assumed to be zero. There are no taxes. Suppose that the entrepreneur has no wealth and needs to raise equity from an investor to finance the investment.
- Is the investor willing to invest in the project if the entrepreneur does not exert effort? Explain your result. [2 marks]
- Find the maximum value of the private benefit X for which the investor is willing to invest in the project if the entrepreneur does exert effort. Explain and discuss your results. [8 marks]
Now assume that the private benefit is $12 million and that the entrepreneur can also raise debt with a face value of $F million.
- Can the entrepreneur finance the project solely with debt? What are the payoffs to the debt-holder and to the entrepreneur in this case? Explain and discuss your results. [8 marks]
- Can the entrepreneur finance the project with a combination of risk-free debt and new equity? Specifically, assume that the entrepreneur raises debt with a face value X < $60 million and finances the remainder of the investment with equity. What minimum level of risk-free debt must be raised for the investment to go ahead? Discuss your results. [7 marks]
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