This $\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_$ argument is $\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_.$

Julia sells exotic birds. She has placed four orders with wholesale bird supplier Papagayo Co$.,$ and all of them have been filled with healthy birds. Lately, however, some wholesale competitors have been trying to get her to order from them. But, when it$$s time to make the next order, she decides she$$s better off with Papagayo because she$$s pretty sure she$$ll get healthy birds. $($Do not assume that you know anything about birds or the bird business.$)$

Group of answer choices

Analogical; weak

Analogical; strong

Causal; weak

Causal; strong