Question: This assignment must be in Excel/QM The following payoff table provides profits based on various possible decision alternatives and various levels of demand. States of
This assignment must be in Excel/QM
The following payoff table provides profits based on various possible decision alternatives and various levels of demand.
|
| States of Nature |
|
|
|
| Demand |
|
|
| Alternatives | Low | Medium | High |
| Alternative 1 | 75 | 120 | 140 |
| Alternative 2 | 90 | 90 | 90 |
| Alternative 3 | 50 | 70 | 120 |
The probability of a low demand is 0.4, while the probability of a medium demand is 0.4 and high demand is 0.2.
(a) What decision would an optimist make?
(b) What decision would a pessimist make?
(c) What is the highest possible expected monetary value?
(d) Calculate the expected value of perfect information for this situation.
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