Question: Transition Probability 2. A Markov chain with state space {1, 2, 3} has transition probability matrix 00 0.3 0.1 a: 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1
Transition Probability




2. A Markov chain with state space {1, 2, 3} has transition probability matrix 00 0.3 0.1 a: 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.5 (a) Is this Markov chain irreducible? Is the Markov chain recurrent or transient? Explain your answers. (b) What is the period of state 1? Hence deduce the period of the remaining states. Does this Markov chain have a limiting distribution? (c) Consider a general three-state Markov chain with transition matrix 3011 3012 1013 P = P21 P22 P23 1031 P32 P33 Give an example of a specic set of probabilities jag-'3; for which the Markov chain is not irreducible (there is no single right answer to this1 of course l]. 4. Consider the Markov chain X" = {X,} with state space S = {0, 1, 2, ...} and transition probabilities 1 ifj=i-1 Puj = 10 otherwise , for i 2 1 and Poo = 0, Poj = for j > 1. (a) Is this Markov chain irreducible? Determine the period for every state. (b) Is the Markov chain recurrent or transient? Explain. (c) Is the Markov chain positive recurrent? If so, compute the sta- tionary probability distribution. (d) For each state i, what is the expected number of steps to return to state i if the Markov chain X starts at state i? 5. Consider a Markov chain X = {X} with state space S = {0, 1, 2, ...} and transition probability matrix 0 1 0 0 P 0 0 P = O p 0 q 0 0 . . . 0 0 P 0 4 0 Here p > 0, q > 0 and p+q =1. Determine when the chain is positive recurrent and compute its stationary distribution.Q.4 [12 marks] Give examples for Markov chains with the following properties. (a) The Markov chain has a state which is both transient and essential. [3 marks] (b) The Markov chain has a state which is null recurrent and aperiodic. [3 marks (c) The Markov chain has a stationary but not a limiting distribution? [3 marks] (d) The Markov chain has a stationary distribution which is not unique. [3 marks]Problem 7.4 (10 points) A Markov chain X0,X1, X2, . . . with state space S = {1, 2, 3, 4} has the following transition graph: (a) Provide the transitiOn matrix fer the Markov chain. (13) Determine all recurrent and all transient states
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