Question: Two independent methods of forecasting based on judgment and experience have been prepared each month for the past 10 months. The forecasts and actual sales

Two independent methods of forecasting based on judgment and experience have been prepared each month for the past 10 months. The forecasts and actual sales are as follows: Month Sales Forecast 1 Forecast 2 1 771 772 773 2 790 788 790 3 794 793 793 4 776 779 780 5 772 774 776 6 770 767 769 7 761 764 766 8 774 772 774 9 792 792 790 10 794 793 791

a. Compute a tracking signal for the 10th month for each forecast using the cumulative error for months 1 to 10. Use action limits of 4. Is there bias present?

Forecast. Tracking Signals

Method 1

Method 2

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