# U.S. Treasury 10-Year Bond Yields at Week's End (n =

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U.S. Treasury 10-Year Bond Yields at Week's End (n
= 52 weeks)
Week
Yield
Week
Yield
Week
Yield
Week
Yield
4/2/04
4/9/04
4/16/04
4/23/04
4/30/04
5/7/04
5/14/04
5/21/04
5/28/04
6/4/04
6/11/04
6/18/04
6/25/04
7/2/04
7/9/04
7/16/04
7/23/04
7/30/04
8/6/04
8/13/04
8/20/04
8/27/04
9/3/04
9/10/04
9/17/04
9/24/04
10/1/04
10/8/04
10/15/04
10/22/04
10/29/04
11/5/04
11/12/04
11/19/04
11/26/04
12/3/04
12/10/04
12/17/04
12/24/04
12/31/04
1/7/05
1/14/05
1/21/05
1/28/05
2/4/05
2/11/05
2/18/05
2/25/05
3/4/05
3/11/05
3/18/05
3/25/05
4.10
4.78
4.25
4.44
4.36
4.64
4.35
4.43
4.51
4.62
4.23
4.40
4.58
4.61
4.18
4.34
4.64
4.71
4.20
4.34
4.77
4.56
4.27
4.29
4.96
4.43
4.37
4.21
4.89
4.38
4.32
4.31
4.83
4.40
4.35
4.43
4.89
4.34
4.50
4.52
4.95
4.36
4.34
4.60
4.90
4.29
4.31
4.66
4.84
4.19
4.36
4.74
(b) Perform exponential smoothing with a = .20. Use both methods A and Bto initialize the forecast. Record the statistics of fit. (Round
the Mean squared error to 3 decimal places, percent values to 1 decimal place and Forecast to 2 decimal places.)
a = .20
Mean squared error
Mean absolute percent
error
Forecast for period 53
(c) Do the smoothing again with a = 10 and then with a = .30, recording the statistics of fit. (Round the Mean squared error to 3
decimal places and percent values to 1 decimal place.)
a = .10
a =
• 30
Mean squared error
Mean absolute percent
error