Question: Use = 0.2 to compute the exponential smoothing values for the time series. (Round your answers to three decimal places.) Week Time Series Value Forecast
Use = 0.2 to compute the exponential smoothing values for the time series. (Round your answers to three decimal places.)
| Week | Time Series Value | Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | - |
| 2 | 14 | |
| 3 | 22 | |
| 4 | 12 | |
| 5 | 20 | |
| 6 | 24 | |
| 7 | 16 |
Compute MSE. (Round your answer to two decimal places.)
MSE =
What is the forecast for week 8? (Round your answer to two decimal places.)
Forecast for week 8 =
(d)
Compare the three-week moving average forecast with the exponential smoothing forecast using
= 0.2.
Which appears to provide the better forecast based on MSE?
The exponential smoothing using = 0.2 provides a better forecast since it has a larger MSE than the three-week moving average.
The three-week moving average provides a better forecast since it has a smaller MSE than the exponential smoothing using = 0.2.
The exponential smoothing using = 0.2 provides a better forecast since it has a smaller MSE than the three-week moving average.
The three-week moving average provides a better forecast since it has a larger MSE than the exponential smoothing using = 0.2.
(e)
Use trial and error to find a value of the exponential smoothing coefficient that results in a smaller MSE than what you calculated for = 0.2.
=
Step by Step Solution
There are 3 Steps involved in it
Get step-by-step solutions from verified subject matter experts
