Question: Use Bayes' Theorem to solve the following problem. (20 pts.) It's well known that Franklin Delano Roosevelt (FDR) was stricken with a paralytic illness in

 Use Bayes' Theorem to solve the following problem. (20 pts.) It's

Use Bayes' Theorem to solve the following problem. (20 pts.) It's well known that Franklin Delano Roosevelt (FDR) was stricken with a paralytic illness in 1921, when he was 39 years old. At the time he was diagnosed with poliomyelitis, commonly known as polio. A 2003 study challenged this diagnosis, proposing that FDR actually had Guillain-Barre syndrome (GBS). Previous studies indicated that among FDR's age group, 51% of paralytic illnesses were due to GBS and 49% were due to polio. Researchers noted that FDR experienced bladder dysfunction for two weeks following the initial onset of his illness. This symptom occurs in very few cases of polio-5 in every 100 cases-but in 50% of GBS cases. Given this evidence, how likely are each of the competing diagnoses? (20 pts.)

Step by Step Solution

There are 3 Steps involved in it

1 Expert Approved Answer
Step: 1 Unlock blur-text-image
Question Has Been Solved by an Expert!

Get step-by-step solutions from verified subject matter experts

Step: 2 Unlock
Step: 3 Unlock

Students Have Also Explored These Related Mathematics Questions!