Using the information below, as a HR Director, write a MEMO to the General stating why a quantitative approach is the best method of forecasting personnel.........The process of assessing the demand for additional personnel in the Churchland Armed Forces' Midland Command for the year $2025$ involves several stages. This process is significant as it ensures the Command can handle the increased operational capacity from $500$ to $600$ military operations per year.

$1.$ Current Personnel and Operations Analysis:

The Command currently manages $500$ operations with an optimized personnel structure.

The personnel distribution across ranks is provided, with specific probabilities for internal movements and exits.

$2.$ Regression Analysis for Personnel Demand:

The regression equation Y$=160+4\backslash$times

is used to estimate the number of operations $($Y$)$ based on the number of personnel $($X$).$

With a correlation coefficient r$=0\mathrm{.}92,$ there is a strong positive relationship between personnel numbers and operations.

$3.$ Forecasting Additional Personnel Needs:

To handle $600$ operations, solve for x

in the regression equation:

$600=160+4$x

$440=4$x

X$=110$

The Command needs $110$ personnel to manage $600$ operations.

$4.$ Qualitative vs$.$ Quantitative Forecasting:

The General suggests using qualitative forecasting for simplicity.

The HR Director prefers quantitative methods due to concerns about attrition and the effectiveness of the performance evaluation system.