Question: Values for the NASDAQ Composite index during the 50 days preceding March 10, 2006, can be downloaded from the authors website. Calculate the one-day 99%
Values for the NASDAQ Composite index during the 50 days preceding March 10, 2006, can be downloaded from the authors website. Calculate the one-day 99% VaR, and one-day 99% ES on March 10, 2006, for a $10 million portfolio invested in the index using: (a) The basic historical simulation approach. (b) The exponential weighting scheme in Section 13.3.1 with = 0.995. 1 (c) The volatility-scaling procedures in Sections 13.3.2 and 13.3.3 with = 0.94 (assume that the inital variance when EWMA is applied is the sample variance). (d) Extreme value theory with u = 300 and equal weightings. (e) A model where daily returns are assumed to be normally distributed with mean zero (use both an equally weighted approach and the EWMA approach with = 0.94 to estimate the standard deviation of daily returns.). Discuss the reasons for the differences between the results you get.
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These are the values:
| Date | NASDAQ Close |
| 10-Mar-06 | 2262.04 |
| 9-Mar-06 | 2249.72 |
| 8-Mar-06 | 2267.46 |
| 7-Mar-06 | 2268.38 |
| 6-Mar-06 | 2286.03 |
| 3-Mar-06 | 2302.6 |
| 2-Mar-06 | 2311.11 |
| 1-Mar-06 | 2314.64 |
| 28-Feb-06 | 2281.39 |
| 27-Feb-06 | 2307.18 |
| 24-Feb-06 | 2287.04 |
| 23-Feb-06 | 2279.32 |
| 22-Feb-06 | 2283.17 |
| 21-Feb-06 | 2262.96 |
| 17-Feb-06 | 2282.36 |
| 16-Feb-06 | 2294.63 |
| 15-Feb-06 | 2276.43 |
| 14-Feb-06 | 2262.17 |
| 13-Feb-06 | 2239.81 |
| 10-Feb-06 | 2261.88 |
| 9-Feb-06 | 2255.87 |
| 8-Feb-06 | 2266.98 |
| 7-Feb-06 | 2244.96 |
| 6-Feb-06 | 2258.8 |
| 3-Feb-06 | 2262.58 |
| 2-Feb-06 | 2281.57 |
| 1-Feb-06 | 2310.56 |
| 31-Jan-06 | 2305.82 |
| 30-Jan-06 | 2306.78 |
| 27-Jan-06 | 2304.23 |
| 26-Jan-06 | 2283 |
| 25-Jan-06 | 2260.65 |
| 24-Jan-06 | 2265.25 |
| 23-Jan-06 | 2248.47 |
| 20-Jan-06 | 2247.7 |
| 19-Jan-06 | 2301.81 |
| 18-Jan-06 | 2279.64 |
| 17-Jan-06 | 2302.69 |
| 13-Jan-06 | 2317.04 |
| 12-Jan-06 | 2316.69 |
| 11-Jan-06 | 2331.36 |
| 10-Jan-06 | 2320.32 |
| 9-Jan-06 | 2318.69 |
| 6-Jan-06 | 2305.62 |
| 5-Jan-06 | 2276.87 |
| 4-Jan-06 | 2263.46 |
| 3-Jan-06 | 2243.74 |
| 30-Dec-05 | 2205.32 |
| 29-Dec-05 | 2218.16 |
| 28-Dec-05 | 2228.94 |
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