Volta Apparel Inc. is contemplating constructing a new facility to manufacture ladies' apparel $($shirts$)$ at Keta. Mr$.$ Kwaku Kobla is the newly appointed Plant Manager, who will oversee the Keta plant. You have been appointed as the Operations Consultant to advise him and assist him. Volta has another similar facility in Accra. The actual demand for shirts $($manufactured in the Accra plant for the last $4$ years$)$ is presented below:

Season and Year

Actual Demand

Quarter$1$ and $2005$

$482$

Quarter$2$ and $2005$

$213$

Quarter $3$ and $2005$

$116$

Quarter $4$ and $2005$

$335$

Quarter $1$ and $2006$

$499$

Quarter $2$ and $2006$

$225$

Quarter $3$ and $2006$

$122$

Quarter $4$ and $2006$

$344$

Quarter $1$ and $2007$

$503$

Quarter $2$ and $2007$

$237$

Quarter $3$ and $2007$

$127$

Quarter $4$ and $2007$

$349$

Quarter $1$ and $2008$

$518$

Quarter $2$ and $2008$

$244$

Quarter $3$ and $2008$

$133$

Quarter $4$ and $2008$

$353$

A$.$ Based on the information above, prepare a demand forecast for $2009$ for the new facility at Keta. $($Hint: You could use any forecasting technique. However, you should have a sound rationale for your decision based on the type of data given to you. State assumptions, if any$).$ Supposing Kwaku comes up with a forecast to sell $300$ units per quarter for the year $2009,$ do you think his forecast would be any better than your forecast? Explain.