W1.A2.Customer Order Manager Kenny has recieved a request from a customer on how many units of a certain product he could deliver in week 1. In their manufacturing facility, the company works with frozen time periods of six weeks. The production quantity is 10 000 units, the lead time to finish their products is 3 weeks and they use a safety time of 1 week. However, the lead time to most of their customers is within a week.

2a.How many units can Kenny promise the customer in the first week?

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unitsunanswered

2b.What is the forecast for week 7 usingmoving average(n=6)?

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unitsunanswered

2c.What is the forecast for week 7 usingexponential smoothing(=0.3)?

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Kenny wish to follow up on forecasting, to get a feel for how well the forecasting has worked.

2d.What is theAverage Forecast Error(AFE) for the forecast during the six first weeks?

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unitsunanswered

2e.What is theMean Absolute Deviation(MAD) for the forecast during the six first weeks?

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unitsunanswered

In addition what has already been reserved (see above), let's assume Kenny receives an order of 2000 units for delivery in week 7 and another 2500 units for delivery in week 8. This order is agreed in week 1. Kenny runs some forecast tests and estimates 3600 units for week 7. According to the table above, production is planned for week 1 and week 4.

2f.After week 4, inwhat weekmust production be available in order to meet the demand?

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(week number)unanswered

2g.In reference to question 2f above, what shouldthe planned productionbe?

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unitsunanswered

2h.In reference to questions 2f-g, what is thePAB for week 7?

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unitsunanswered

2i.In reference to questions 2f-g, what is thePAB for week 8?

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unitsunanswered