Question: When the time series has a decreasing trend and you use a 3 - period weighted moving average with C 1 = 0 . 1

When the time series has a decreasing trend and you use a 3-period weighted moving average with C1=0.1, C2=0.3, and C3=0.6(index 1 weights the oldest data point, index 3 the most recent one), the forecast will consistently overestimate the demand.
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