Question: You have been using a very simple, niiave forecasting technique. You are using the previous month's data for this month's estimate. February's estimate was January's
You have been using a very simple, niiave forecasting technique. You are using the previous month's data for this month's estimate. February's estimate was January's actual. The data is in the table below.
| Month | Actual | Forecast |
| Jan | 3722 | 3934 |
| Feb | 4991 | 3722 |
| Mar | 4204 | 4991 |
| Apr | 4695 | 4204 |
| May | 4499 | 4695 |
| Jun | 5167 | 4499 |
| Jul | 5133 | 5167 |
| Aug | 5105 | 5133 |
| Sep | 5155 | 5105 |
| Oct | 5159 | 5155 |
| Nov | 4728 | 5159 |
| Dec | 4133 | 4728 |
a) What is the Mean Error (ME)?
b) What is the Mean Squared Error (MSE)?
c) What is the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD)?
d) What is the Mean Absolute Percent Error (MAPE)?
e) What is the tracking signal?
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