Question: 4.5 In one dimension, consider a stationary CAR model (4.31), E[Xt|Xt] = S s = S s 0 ????s Xts, var[Xt|Xt] = ????2
4.5 In one dimension, consider a stationary CAR model (4.31), E[Xt|X∖t] = ∑
S s = −S s ≠ 0
????s Xt−s, var[Xt|X∖t] = ????2
???? , where 1 − ????̃(????) = 1 − 2
∑S s=1 ????s coss???? ≠ 0 for all ???? ∈ [−????, ????]. Show that this process can be given a unilateral representation
∑
S s=0 dsXt−s = ????t, where ????t is a white noise process and the roots of ∑d s=0 dszs
, z ∈ ℂ, lie outside the unit disk.
Hint: Factorize P(z) = P(z−1) = 1 − ∑
S s = −S s ≠ 0
????s zs
= ∏
S i=1
(1 − ????i z)(1 − ????i z−1
), where the roots satisfy 0 ≤ |????i
| < 1, i = 1, ..., S. Then define {ds} by
∑ dszs = ∏(1 − ????i z).
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