Using simple exponential smoothing and the following time series data, respond to each of the items. (Note

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Using simple exponential smoothing and the following time series data, respond to each of the items. (Note the data are the same as exercise 8.)

Period Demand Period Demand 1 72 8 28 60 9 53 3 27 10 50 4 52 11 57 26 12 87 46 13 22 52 14 56

a. G raph the time series data. What do you observe?

b. Compute all possible forecasts using a smoothing coefficient (α) of 0.4.

c. Compute all possible forecasts using a smoothing coefficient (α) of 0.9.

d. Compute the MADs for each moving average forecast.

e. Which forecast model would you choose? Why?

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Statistical Techniques In Business And Economics

ISBN: 9781260239478

18th Edition

Authors: Douglas Lind, William Marchal, Samuel Wathen

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