Life spans of individuals in a population often approximate an exponential distribution, a continuous probability distribution having

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Life spans of individuals in a population often approximate an exponential distribution, a continuous probability distribution having probability density f(Y)=λe−λY, where λ is the mortality rate. To estimate the mortality rate of foraging honey bees, Visscher and Dukas (1997) recorded the entire foraging life span of 33 individual worker bees in a local bee population in a natural setting. The 33 life spans (in hours) are listed as follows and in a histogram.

2.3.2.3, 2.3.2.3, 3.9.3.9, 4.0,4.0, 7.1,7.1, 9.5,9.5, 9.6,9.6, 10.8,10.8, 12.8.12.8, 13.6,13.6, 14.6,14.6,

Frequency 10 8- 6- 4 2- 0- 0 BICH 20 40 60 Foraging life span (hours) 80

If life span follows an exponential distribution, then the log-likelihood of λ, given the data, is ln L[ λ | observed life spans ]=n ln(λ)−λΣiYi, where Yi is the life span of individual i, and n is the sample size.

a. Estimate λ, the mortality rate of bees per hour. Using a computer, find the maximum likelihood estimate of λ to two decimal places.

b. What is the value of the log-likelihood at the maximum likelihood estimate λ^?

c. What is the likelihood-based 95% confidence interval for λ?

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The Analysis Of Biological Data

ISBN: 9781319226237

3rd Edition

Authors: Michael C. Whitlock, Dolph Schluter

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