You see a person reading The New York Times on the New York subway. Which of the

Question:

“You see a person reading The New York Times on the New York subway. Which of the following is a better bet about the reading stranger?
• She has a PhD.
• She does not have a college degree” (Kahneman, 2011, p. 151).
a. Which of the two statements do you think people would state as more likely, and why?
b. Which statement do you think actually is most likely?