You are to price options on a futures contract. The movements of the futures price are modeled
Question:
You are to price options on a futures contract. The movements of the futures price are modeled by a binomial tree. You are given:
(i) Each period is 6 months.
(ii) u/d = 4/3, where u is one plus the rate of gain on the futures price if it goes up, and d is one plus the rate of loss if it goes down.
(iii) The risk-neutral probability of an up move is 1/3.
(iv) The initial futures price is 80.
(v) The continuously compounded risk-free interest rate is 5%.
Let CI be the price of a 1-year 85-strike European call option on the futures contract, and CII be the price of an otherwise identical American call option.
Determine CII − CI.
(A) 0
(B) 0.022
(C) 0.044
(D) 0.066
(E) 0.088
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