The table below shows the optimal smoothing constants from applying exponential smoothing to data, using automated model

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The table below shows the optimal smoothing constants from applying exponential smoothing to data, using automated model selection [Note: Such automated selection can be performed in RapidMiner with the Optimize Parameter (Grid) operator by nesting the Forecast Validation operator inside it]:

image text in transcribed a. The value of zero that is obtained for the trend smoothing constant means that(choose one of the following):
• There is no trend.
• The trend is estimated only from the first two periods.
• The trend is updated throughout the data.
• The trend is statistically insignificant.

b. What is the danger of using the optimal smoothing constant values?

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Machine Learning For Business Analytics

ISBN: 9781119828792

1st Edition

Authors: Galit Shmueli, Peter C. Bruce, Amit V. Deokar, Nitin R. Patel

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